← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Roger Williams University1.43+1.23vs Predicted
-
2Boston University0.86+1.49vs Predicted
-
3Brown University0.45+0.61vs Predicted
-
4Northeastern University-0.47+1.44vs Predicted
-
5Bates College-0.67+1.10vs Predicted
-
6Fairfield University-0.74+0.01vs Predicted
-
7Amherst College-1.69+0.80vs Predicted
-
8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.97-2.11vs Predicted
-
9University of New Hampshire-0.93-2.95vs Predicted
-
10Salve Regina University-2.02-1.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.23Roger Williams University1.4339.5%1st Place
-
3.49Boston University0.8617.3%1st Place
-
3.61Brown University0.4515.6%1st Place
-
5.44Northeastern University-0.475.7%1st Place
-
6.1Bates College-0.674.9%1st Place
-
6.01Fairfield University-0.744.5%1st Place
-
7.8Amherst College-1.691.9%1st Place
-
5.89University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.975.1%1st Place
-
6.05University of New Hampshire-0.934.7%1st Place
-
8.38Salve Regina University-2.020.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jed Lory | 39.5% | 25.7% | 17.9% | 9.8% | 4.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Benjamin Luu | 17.3% | 19.2% | 18.3% | 15.8% | 13.1% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Quinn Brighton | 15.6% | 18.8% | 17.2% | 17.1% | 13.7% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
Gabrielle Ahitow | 5.7% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 15.0% | 13.4% | 12.6% | 7.4% | 2.8% |
Amanda Yolles | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 14.3% | 14.8% | 13.1% | 6.6% |
Timothy Cronin | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 14.1% | 15.1% | 12.3% | 5.5% |
Adrian Whitney | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 12.6% | 24.3% | 29.1% |
Ian McCaffrey | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 15.3% | 15.5% | 14.2% | 10.1% | 4.9% |
Lucas Wiatrowski | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 15.2% | 14.2% | 10.9% | 6.9% |
Victoria Sikorjak | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 11.2% | 20.4% | 44.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.