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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.89+4.17vs Predicted
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2Tufts University4.33+5.08vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.42+7.36vs Predicted
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4Brown University4.28+3.40vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii3.23+5.88vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University5.19-1.36vs Predicted
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7Texas A&M University1.90+7.53vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida4.10-0.16vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy4.34-1.62vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont4.60-3.81vs Predicted
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11University of Florida3.05+0.67vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston4.76-6.17vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin4.10-4.81vs Predicted
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14Washington College4.25-6.47vs Predicted
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15University of Southern California3.58-5.15vs Predicted
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16Northwestern University2.37-2.41vs Predicted
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17University of Oregon1.84-2.14vs Predicted
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18Texas A&M University1.90-3.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.17Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
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7.08Tufts University4.330.1%1st Place
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10.36U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.420.0%1st Place
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7.4Brown University4.280.1%1st Place
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10.88University of Hawaii3.230.0%1st Place
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4.64Georgetown University5.190.1%1st Place
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14.53Texas A&M University1.900.0%1st Place
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7.84University of South Florida4.100.1%1st Place
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7.38U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
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6.19University of Vermont4.600.1%1st Place
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11.67University of Florida3.050.0%1st Place
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5.83College of Charleston4.760.1%1st Place
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8.19University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
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7.53Washington College4.250.1%1st Place
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9.85University of Southern California3.580.0%1st Place
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13.59Northwestern University2.370.0%1st Place
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14.86University of Oregon1.840.0%1st Place
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14.53Texas A&M University1.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Sinks | 13.9% | 13.5% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tomas Hornos | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gary Herring | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 9.5% | 5.7% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Jeff Knowles | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Petersen | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Buckingham | 14.8% | 14.5% | 14.5% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Haltom | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 14.3% | 25.4% | 31.2% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Hall | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Vann | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clinton Hayes | 8.9% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Hursh | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 5.6% | 0.0% |
| Juan Maegli | 12.2% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Blouin | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Vetter | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Michael Cornew | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 17.8% | 21.5% | 16.4% | 0.0% |
| Craig Emmes | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 20.7% | 39.8% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Haltom | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 14.3% | 25.4% | 31.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.