Race 4A

first-year-icebreaker

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Billy Vogel 23.1% 21.1% 16.4% 14.1% 10.3% 7.4% 4.8% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
Jack Viscuso 13.5% 11.5% 14.1% 13.4% 12.5% 12.2% 10.2% 7.1% 4.2% 1.5%
Joseph Gallagher 18.1% 16.6% 17.3% 14.4% 11.7% 9.3% 6.0% 4.3% 1.8% 0.4%
Brittany Shabino 8.9% 11.2% 11.1% 11.2% 11.9% 12.7% 12.0% 10.8% 7.4% 2.5%
Caroline Grin 6.9% 7.5% 8.3% 9.4% 11.0% 12.3% 14.9% 13.1% 10.2% 6.2%
Luke Koerschner 13.2% 12.5% 12.7% 14.4% 13.4% 11.6% 9.9% 7.4% 3.4% 1.5%
Kate Crannell 3.6% 4.5% 4.4% 6.0% 6.0% 8.5% 10.9% 15.0% 21.1% 19.9%
Emily Williams 7.6% 7.8% 7.8% 9.7% 11.4% 11.6% 13.1% 13.1% 12.4% 5.7%
Edwin Becker 3.4% 4.2% 4.9% 4.5% 7.2% 8.5% 10.1% 16.2% 21.3% 19.8%
Cecilia Patrick 1.8% 3.1% 3.0% 3.0% 4.4% 5.9% 8.1% 10.7% 17.5% 42.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.