Race 5A

first-year-icebreaker

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Brittany Shabino 9.8% 8.6% 9.6% 11.7% 12.3% 13.0% 13.4% 10.8% 8.2% 2.8%
Joseph Gallagher 16.7% 17.3% 17.2% 14.4% 11.8% 9.4% 6.9% 3.8% 1.7% 0.8%
Caroline Grin 7.4% 7.7% 8.4% 9.0% 10.7% 12.8% 14.5% 13.1% 10.0% 6.5%
Jack Viscuso 12.2% 13.7% 14.0% 14.1% 12.4% 11.2% 11.2% 6.4% 3.8% 1.2%
Luke Koerschner 13.4% 14.1% 12.5% 14.1% 12.4% 10.9% 9.8% 8.1% 3.8% 1.1%
Billy Vogel 24.1% 20.5% 17.7% 12.8% 11.6% 6.6% 3.9% 1.6% 0.9% 0.1%
Emily Williams 7.0% 7.6% 8.6% 10.2% 10.9% 12.4% 13.4% 14.5% 10.1% 5.5%
Cecilia Patrick 2.7% 2.5% 2.7% 3.0% 4.3% 6.3% 7.7% 11.9% 19.1% 39.8%
Kate Crannell 3.2% 4.4% 4.3% 5.3% 6.8% 8.9% 9.9% 14.1% 20.9% 22.1%
Edwin Becker 3.5% 3.5% 5.1% 5.5% 6.8% 8.3% 9.5% 15.8% 21.8% 20.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.