Race 6A

first-year-icebreaker

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Billy Vogel 22.8% 20.2% 18.1% 13.2% 10.1% 7.8% 5.5% 1.7% 0.7% 0.1%
Jack Viscuso 13.4% 13.1% 13.8% 13.2% 11.6% 11.6% 10.6% 7.8% 3.9% 1.1%
Joseph Gallagher 18.4% 16.4% 15.2% 14.4% 12.6% 10.6% 6.6% 3.5% 1.9% 0.4%
Brittany Shabino 8.0% 10.7% 11.4% 13.2% 12.7% 11.0% 11.8% 10.4% 7.4% 3.5%
Cecilia Patrick 2.1% 1.9% 3.1% 3.4% 5.5% 6.3% 8.2% 11.2% 19.1% 39.1%
Luke Koerschner 13.7% 14.5% 12.3% 12.8% 12.2% 13.2% 10.2% 6.5% 3.4% 1.1%
Emily Williams 8.2% 7.6% 8.3% 9.5% 10.2% 12.4% 14.7% 12.8% 10.6% 5.7%
Caroline Grin 6.7% 8.0% 9.1% 8.6% 11.7% 12.0% 12.2% 15.0% 10.3% 6.3%
Edwin Becker 3.2% 3.8% 4.6% 5.7% 7.0% 8.0% 10.2% 16.6% 20.3% 20.8%
Kate Crannell 3.6% 3.9% 4.2% 5.8% 6.6% 7.2% 10.2% 14.4% 22.2% 21.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.