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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame0.99+2.72vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan1.29+1.18vs Predicted
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3Marquette University0.32+2.25vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University0.74+0.43vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University-0.60+2.24vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame-1.11+2.12vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan0.04-1.25vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University0.09-2.28vs Predicted
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9Purdue University-0.58-1.89vs Predicted
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10University of Notre Dame0.66-5.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.72University of Notre Dame0.9919.0%1st Place
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3.18University of Michigan1.2924.9%1st Place
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5.25Marquette University0.327.7%1st Place
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4.43Michigan State University0.7411.3%1st Place
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7.24Michigan State University-0.603.2%1st Place
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8.12University of Notre Dame-1.112.6%1st Place
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5.75University of Michigan0.048.1%1st Place
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5.72Ohio State University0.096.9%1st Place
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7.11Purdue University-0.583.1%1st Place
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4.47University of Notre Dame0.6613.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Joseph Gallagher | 19.0% | 15.8% | 17.0% | 13.9% | 13.0% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
Billy Vogel | 24.9% | 21.6% | 15.3% | 13.7% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
Brittany Shabino | 7.7% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 6.8% | 3.9% |
Luke Koerschner | 11.3% | 15.0% | 13.2% | 14.4% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
Kate Crannell | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 15.3% | 20.8% | 21.0% |
Cecilia Patrick | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 11.9% | 19.4% | 40.8% |
Caroline Grin | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 13.8% | 11.7% | 5.9% |
Emily Williams | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 13.6% | 13.7% | 11.9% | 4.5% |
Edwin Becker | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 19.5% | 20.6% |
Jack Viscuso | 13.2% | 12.7% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.