Race 8A

first-year-icebreaker

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Billy Vogel 24.6% 21.6% 15.7% 13.9% 9.3% 8.0% 4.6% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
Luke Koerschner 13.5% 14.0% 13.8% 12.8% 13.1% 11.8% 8.6% 6.8% 4.2% 1.4%
Brittany Shabino 9.2% 9.0% 11.7% 11.1% 11.8% 13.8% 12.3% 11.9% 6.3% 2.8%
Joseph Gallagher 18.1% 17.8% 16.1% 14.8% 11.2% 8.8% 7.2% 3.8% 1.8% 0.4%
Jack Viscuso 11.4% 12.1% 13.6% 13.1% 13.0% 12.3% 11.2% 7.7% 4.6% 0.9%
Emily Williams 6.9% 7.8% 8.5% 9.6% 10.3% 12.4% 13.7% 13.0% 11.8% 6.2%
Caroline Grin 6.8% 7.2% 8.2% 10.4% 12.1% 11.8% 12.2% 13.1% 12.1% 6.2%
Edwin Becker 4.0% 4.2% 5.1% 5.1% 8.2% 6.7% 11.7% 15.0% 21.4% 18.6%
Kate Crannell 3.5% 3.8% 5.1% 5.9% 6.5% 8.8% 10.5% 14.5% 20.2% 21.1%
Cecilia Patrick 1.9% 2.4% 2.2% 3.3% 4.5% 5.5% 8.1% 12.6% 17.0% 42.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.