Race 1A

wellahan

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

27.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Cameron Barclift 14.3% 14.0% 15.2% 13.6% 12.7% 13.0% 8.6% 5.0% 2.7% 0.8% 0.1%
John Cappetta 9.4% 10.0% 9.9% 11.2% 12.3% 13.1% 11.9% 10.9% 7.5% 3.6% 0.2%
Conor Fowler 18.6% 17.1% 17.6% 13.0% 10.9% 10.4% 6.2% 3.7% 2.0% 0.5% 0.0%
Alexander Strothe 6.2% 7.2% 8.2% 8.1% 10.7% 10.8% 12.9% 15.0% 11.6% 8.2% 1.1%
William Dykes 6.0% 7.8% 6.7% 7.2% 9.8% 10.2% 11.4% 14.6% 16.4% 8.7% 1.2%
Becker Awqatty 18.6% 17.8% 14.7% 14.5% 10.4% 8.8% 6.5% 5.1% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1%
Karl Ryder 6.1% 5.0% 6.4% 7.2% 8.2% 9.0% 11.5% 14.5% 19.0% 11.0% 2.1%
Philip Koch 11.9% 11.3% 13.9% 12.1% 12.0% 9.6% 10.9% 8.2% 7.6% 2.3% 0.2%
Lewis Fowler-Gerace 6.5% 7.9% 5.6% 9.5% 9.0% 11.4% 12.9% 13.4% 12.7% 8.9% 2.2%
Simon Li 1.9% 1.6% 1.6% 3.2% 3.1% 3.6% 5.3% 7.3% 13.7% 43.9% 14.8%
Christopher Baker 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.4% 0.9% 0.1% 1.9% 2.3% 3.9% 11.5% 78.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.