Race 9A

first-year-icebreaker

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Billy Vogel 24.1% 19.8% 17.1% 13.7% 10.8% 7.2% 5.1% 1.5% 0.4% 0.2%
Joseph Gallagher 18.1% 17.9% 15.3% 13.1% 11.8% 10.8% 7.1% 3.8% 1.8% 0.3%
Jack Viscuso 11.9% 13.5% 13.6% 13.5% 12.6% 12.7% 9.9% 7.5% 3.9% 1.1%
Brittany Shabino 8.4% 9.8% 10.9% 11.9% 11.8% 12.4% 12.6% 11.1% 7.4% 3.6%
Luke Koerschner 13.6% 13.8% 13.3% 13.8% 14.1% 10.7% 9.3% 6.5% 3.2% 1.8%
Edwin Becker 4.2% 4.0% 4.9% 6.0% 6.6% 8.2% 11.8% 15.2% 20.6% 18.6%
Emily Williams 7.2% 7.2% 9.1% 9.0% 10.3% 13.5% 13.0% 13.9% 11.3% 5.6%
Kate Crannell 3.6% 4.2% 5.0% 5.9% 6.2% 7.9% 10.0% 16.1% 20.6% 20.5%
Cecilia Patrick 2.2% 2.8% 3.2% 3.1% 3.7% 5.5% 8.1% 10.8% 18.7% 41.8%
Caroline Grin 6.7% 7.0% 7.7% 10.0% 12.1% 11.2% 13.2% 13.7% 11.9% 6.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.