Race 2A

wellahan

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
John Cappetta 8.1% 9.7% 9.6% 10.7% 13.2% 12.3% 13.8% 9.5% 9.2% 3.3% 0.6%
Becker Awqatty 19.1% 16.8% 16.8% 12.8% 11.7% 9.3% 7.1% 3.7% 2.5% 0.1% 0.1%
Cameron Barclift 13.6% 14.3% 13.3% 14.8% 12.6% 11.7% 8.2% 8.0% 2.5% 1.0% 0.0%
Alexander Strothe 6.8% 6.9% 8.3% 6.9% 11.5% 11.9% 12.6% 14.6% 11.7% 7.7% 1.1%
Conor Fowler 20.6% 18.9% 16.0% 12.0% 10.7% 8.4% 7.0% 3.9% 1.9% 0.6% 0.0%
Philip Koch 10.4% 12.1% 10.9% 13.7% 10.6% 12.3% 10.5% 9.0% 7.3% 3.1% 0.1%
Simon Li 2.0% 3.0% 2.0% 2.7% 2.1% 4.0% 4.9% 8.4% 12.7% 43.0% 15.2%
Lewis Fowler-Gerace 7.1% 7.4% 8.2% 11.0% 10.8% 9.7% 11.3% 12.5% 13.7% 7.4% 0.9%
William Dykes 6.3% 5.8% 7.4% 8.1% 8.3% 10.4% 12.4% 15.3% 13.4% 10.2% 2.4%
Karl Ryder 5.5% 5.0% 7.1% 6.9% 7.9% 9.0% 11.1% 12.6% 21.1% 12.0% 1.8%
Christopher Baker 0.5% 0.1% 0.4% 0.4% 0.6% 1.0% 1.1% 2.5% 4.0% 11.6% 77.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.