Race 10A

first-year-icebreaker

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Joseph Gallagher 17.8% 18.1% 16.4% 13.5% 11.5% 9.6% 6.6% 4.5% 1.7% 0.4%
Luke Koerschner 13.2% 12.7% 12.3% 14.6% 12.8% 12.8% 9.9% 7.2% 3.5% 1.0%
Caroline Grin 5.9% 8.1% 8.3% 10.5% 11.9% 12.1% 12.6% 13.1% 11.9% 5.5%
Edwin Becker 3.1% 3.5% 4.8% 5.4% 6.7% 9.6% 12.4% 15.3% 19.2% 20.0%
Jack Viscuso 12.3% 12.8% 13.2% 12.4% 12.8% 11.8% 10.0% 8.6% 4.1% 1.8%
Cecilia Patrick 2.1% 2.7% 3.6% 3.5% 4.8% 5.5% 7.3% 10.4% 19.9% 40.2%
Emily Williams 6.6% 7.3% 8.5% 10.5% 11.3% 10.9% 13.5% 14.0% 11.6% 5.8%
Billy Vogel 25.4% 21.3% 17.9% 12.9% 9.1% 7.3% 3.5% 1.7% 0.7% 0.1%
Kate Crannell 3.9% 3.8% 4.9% 6.1% 6.3% 7.8% 10.7% 13.1% 20.6% 23.1%
Brittany Shabino 9.6% 9.7% 10.1% 10.6% 12.8% 12.7% 13.7% 12.0% 6.8% 2.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.