Race 3A

wellahan

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

27.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Becker Awqatty 15.8% 17.8% 15.1% 15.1% 13.8% 10.6% 5.6% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Philip Koch 11.3% 10.1% 12.1% 12.5% 12.7% 12.1% 10.5% 10.0% 6.3% 2.3% 0.1%
Alexander Strothe 6.2% 7.1% 7.9% 9.0% 10.0% 10.7% 14.6% 14.6% 12.3% 6.7% 0.9%
William Dykes 4.4% 6.8% 6.7% 6.7% 8.0% 10.9% 13.9% 15.5% 15.5% 9.9% 1.7%
John Cappetta 10.1% 11.1% 8.7% 10.7% 13.2% 10.8% 11.7% 10.2% 10.3% 3.1% 0.1%
Simon Li 1.4% 1.3% 2.3% 2.1% 3.2% 4.5% 4.4% 8.2% 12.7% 42.6% 17.3%
Conor Fowler 22.5% 18.0% 17.0% 13.0% 9.8% 7.7% 6.0% 3.0% 2.2% 0.8% 0.0%
Karl Ryder 5.3% 4.5% 6.6% 8.0% 7.6% 10.2% 12.0% 13.3% 18.3% 11.8% 2.4%
Lewis Fowler-Gerace 5.9% 6.3% 8.5% 8.7% 9.3% 12.1% 12.0% 13.6% 13.3% 9.1% 1.2%
Christopher Baker 0.3% 0.2% 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.8% 2.0% 1.9% 4.4% 12.6% 76.3%
Cameron Barclift 16.8% 16.8% 14.8% 13.6% 11.8% 9.6% 7.3% 5.2% 3.3% 0.8% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.