Race 4A

wellahan

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Conor Fowler 18.3% 17.9% 16.3% 14.5% 12.6% 9.2% 6.3% 3.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Becker Awqatty 18.5% 18.9% 15.0% 13.1% 11.2% 9.8% 6.8% 4.4% 2.2% 0.1% 0.0%
William Dykes 6.0% 5.8% 6.9% 6.1% 9.3% 10.5% 11.4% 16.2% 16.9% 10.1% 0.8%
Cameron Barclift 14.5% 13.6% 13.6% 15.0% 12.5% 11.3% 8.7% 6.2% 3.5% 1.1% 0.0%
John Cappetta 10.1% 9.8% 9.3% 12.4% 9.8% 12.1% 12.9% 10.4% 9.0% 4.0% 0.2%
Karl Ryder 4.1% 5.2% 7.0% 5.9% 8.1% 8.2% 11.3% 14.9% 19.5% 13.4% 2.4%
Philip Koch 12.1% 11.2% 13.3% 12.6% 12.4% 11.8% 10.5% 7.7% 5.6% 2.5% 0.3%
Simon Li 1.5% 2.3% 1.4% 2.7% 2.9% 3.3% 5.2% 9.1% 13.4% 42.2% 16.0%
Alexander Strothe 6.7% 7.6% 8.7% 8.7% 10.3% 11.4% 12.9% 12.9% 11.8% 7.2% 1.8%
Lewis Fowler-Gerace 7.7% 7.5% 7.9% 8.8% 10.4% 11.0% 12.9% 12.2% 12.7% 8.3% 0.6%
Christopher Baker 0.5% 0.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.5% 1.4% 1.1% 2.7% 4.1% 10.8% 77.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.