Race 5A

wellahan

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
John Cappetta 6.4% 9.9% 9.7% 9.3% 11.1% 14.3% 13.7% 13.4% 8.3% 3.8% 0.1%
Karl Ryder 4.4% 4.0% 4.5% 6.6% 8.6% 9.5% 10.6% 14.8% 21.0% 13.2% 2.8%
Matthew Lyons 20.9% 18.4% 17.6% 15.1% 10.5% 7.6% 5.8% 3.0% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Becker Awqatty 15.6% 15.2% 14.5% 13.7% 12.4% 12.3% 7.8% 4.6% 2.9% 1.0% 0.0%
Conor Fowler 18.7% 16.8% 16.4% 12.1% 10.9% 9.5% 8.1% 4.9% 1.9% 0.7% 0.0%
Cameron Barclift 14.0% 13.9% 13.4% 15.2% 11.8% 9.6% 9.5% 6.5% 4.4% 1.5% 0.2%
Alexander Strothe 7.4% 7.3% 8.4% 8.5% 12.1% 11.0% 12.1% 13.7% 13.5% 5.8% 0.2%
William Dykes 5.2% 6.5% 7.1% 8.2% 11.0% 9.4% 12.1% 14.1% 16.6% 8.6% 1.2%
Lewis Fowler-Gerace 5.8% 6.6% 5.9% 8.3% 7.7% 12.3% 13.8% 14.9% 14.2% 9.1% 1.4%
Christopher Baker 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.6% 0.5% 0.8% 1.6% 2.2% 3.6% 11.0% 79.0%
Simon Li 1.3% 1.2% 2.3% 2.4% 3.4% 3.7% 4.9% 7.9% 12.6% 45.2% 15.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.