Race 2B

john-quinn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Alexander Salzberg 33.8% 30.7% 20.1% 10.0% 3.7% 1.6% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Charlotte Shaw 2.2% 3.2% 6.8% 10.8% 13.4% 13.7% 16.1% 14.1% 11.0% 8.8%
Jonathan Wittick 40.4% 33.8% 16.6% 6.6% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Benjamin Mohrman 11.2% 14.0% 24.1% 20.5% 13.9% 9.0% 4.8% 2.0% 0.3% 0.1%
Cooper Bennett 2.5% 2.4% 5.0% 9.3% 11.2% 13.1% 14.3% 15.8% 15.2% 11.2%
Matthew McCarvill 4.0% 6.9% 9.0% 17.0% 19.7% 15.7% 12.8% 8.5% 4.7% 1.9%
John Morgan Griffith 1.5% 2.0% 3.5% 5.5% 8.0% 12.8% 11.4% 14.4% 18.5% 22.3%
Tyler Needham 1.8% 2.2% 5.3% 7.2% 10.8% 10.8% 14.1% 14.2% 15.7% 18.1%
Joseph Arrigo 1.1% 2.4% 3.9% 5.7% 7.9% 10.6% 12.6% 15.0% 18.6% 22.3%
George Wood 1.7% 2.5% 5.7% 7.4% 9.3% 12.3% 13.7% 15.8% 16.1% 15.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.