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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.76+3.46vs Predicted
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2University of Puget Sound0.55+4.61vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria1.79+1.44vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University2.21-0.29vs Predicted
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5University of Washington1.69-0.31vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria2.65-3.07vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University2.20-6.19vs Predicted
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11University of Puget Sound1.26-5.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.46University of Washington1.760.1%1st Place
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6.61University of Puget Sound0.550.0%1st Place
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4.44University of Victoria1.790.1%1st Place
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3.71Western Washington University2.210.2%1st Place
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4.69University of Washington1.690.1%1st Place
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2.93University of Victoria2.650.3%1st Place
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3.81Western Washington University2.200.2%1st Place
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5.35University of Puget Sound1.260.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Fuller | 9.9% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 15.1% | 15.6% | 13.3% | 13.3% | 7.8% |
| John Elam | 2.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 18.1% | 51.3% |
| Robert Berry | 12.8% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 14.4% | 15.3% | 14.1% | 7.1% |
| Peter McGrath | 17.2% | 16.3% | 16.7% | 13.0% | 14.3% | 12.5% | 7.1% | 2.9% |
| Alyce Flanagan | 8.9% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 14.6% | 14.2% | 15.5% | 15.5% | 9.1% |
| Neil Hawkes | 26.0% | 22.4% | 17.5% | 14.4% | 10.3% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Casey Pruitt | 16.3% | 16.1% | 16.0% | 15.4% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 3.3% |
| Mike Knape | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 17.5% | 19.2% | 17.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.