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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.43+1.28vs Predicted
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2Boston University0.64+1.14vs Predicted
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3Brown University0.45+0.75vs Predicted
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4Fairfield University-0.74+1.98vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University-0.47+0.44vs Predicted
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6Amherst College-1.69+1.97vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.97-0.99vs Predicted
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8Bates College-0.67-1.89vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-0.93-2.94vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University-2.02-1.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.28Roger Williams University1.4338.5%1st Place
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3.14Boston University0.6419.0%1st Place
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3.75Brown University0.4515.0%1st Place
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5.98Fairfield University-0.744.3%1st Place
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5.44Northeastern University-0.475.6%1st Place
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7.97Amherst College-1.691.6%1st Place
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6.01University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.973.9%1st Place
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6.11Bates College-0.675.8%1st Place
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6.06University of New Hampshire-0.934.5%1st Place
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8.26Salve Regina University-2.021.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
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Jed Lory | 38.5% | 25.9% | 17.1% | 10.2% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Buck Rathbun | 19.0% | 22.3% | 21.1% | 17.1% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Quinn Brighton | 15.0% | 16.8% | 17.8% | 16.8% | 13.6% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
Timothy Cronin | 4.3% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 14.6% | 10.8% | 6.5% |
Gabrielle Ahitow | 5.6% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 16.7% | 14.7% | 11.7% | 6.8% | 2.5% |
Adrian Whitney | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 9.9% | 14.3% | 23.6% | 31.4% |
Ian McCaffrey | 3.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 14.8% | 14.6% | 14.3% | 11.9% | 4.7% |
Amanda Yolles | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 14.9% | 15.2% | 13.2% | 5.8% |
Lucas Wiatrowski | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 13.7% | 14.7% | 14.1% | 12.2% | 6.5% |
Victoria Sikorjak | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 20.2% | 42.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.