Race 1B

wellahan

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Victoria McGruer 13.8% 15.2% 14.8% 16.6% 13.4% 11.3% 8.1% 4.7% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
Mary Paz 23.9% 20.5% 16.9% 13.2% 10.0% 8.6% 4.3% 2.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Erica Lush 16.3% 17.8% 15.8% 14.1% 13.3% 11.0% 7.2% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Kate Levinson 18.8% 16.8% 18.2% 15.8% 11.3% 8.6% 5.8% 3.1% 1.1% 0.5% 0.0%
Timothy Forgione 4.6% 3.3% 5.3% 5.5% 6.6% 10.7% 11.5% 16.6% 17.5% 13.5% 4.9%
Emmet Todd 3.8% 5.2% 6.8% 5.9% 8.7% 10.8% 14.3% 15.3% 15.1% 9.7% 4.4%
Sarah Pollick 3.1% 3.6% 2.9% 3.4% 6.5% 7.9% 11.1% 14.7% 18.5% 19.6% 8.7%
Jennifer Lee 6.6% 7.2% 8.2% 10.3% 13.0% 11.5% 12.7% 13.1% 10.8% 5.5% 1.1%
MacKenzie MacRae 6.8% 8.4% 8.1% 10.7% 12.1% 12.8% 15.3% 11.9% 8.0% 4.7% 1.2%
Emmet Austin 1.7% 1.8% 1.7% 3.1% 3.5% 4.7% 6.3% 10.8% 17.8% 28.0% 20.6%
Earl Lin 0.6% 0.2% 1.3% 1.4% 1.6% 2.1% 3.4% 4.4% 8.3% 17.7% 59.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.