Race 2B

wellahan

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Victoria McGruer 13.8% 14.8% 15.4% 16.1% 14.8% 11.3% 7.5% 4.3% 1.6% 0.4% 0.0%
Mary Paz 22.5% 21.7% 18.4% 13.7% 9.2% 7.7% 4.5% 1.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Kate Levinson 17.7% 17.5% 18.8% 15.6% 11.5% 9.0% 6.2% 2.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
MacKenzie MacRae 6.8% 7.5% 7.8% 10.0% 13.2% 13.6% 13.7% 12.6% 10.3% 3.7% 0.8%
Erica Lush 18.7% 17.7% 16.3% 14.1% 12.7% 8.7% 6.3% 3.8% 1.2% 0.5% 0.0%
Jennifer Lee 6.2% 6.8% 7.6% 9.1% 11.1% 14.1% 13.5% 12.0% 11.2% 7.0% 1.4%
Emmet Todd 5.6% 5.0% 5.2% 7.6% 9.9% 11.3% 13.9% 16.7% 13.9% 8.5% 2.4%
Sarah Pollick 2.8% 2.4% 3.7% 4.1% 5.4% 8.7% 10.6% 14.1% 18.4% 21.9% 7.9%
Timothy Forgione 3.7% 4.6% 4.0% 5.3% 7.1% 8.3% 13.3% 17.9% 17.7% 12.2% 5.9%
Emmet Austin 1.6% 1.7% 2.1% 2.8% 3.6% 5.3% 6.7% 10.1% 15.7% 28.5% 21.9%
Earl Lin 0.6% 0.3% 0.7% 1.6% 1.5% 2.0% 3.8% 4.3% 8.4% 17.1% 59.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.