Race 1B

first-year-icebreaker

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Samuel Stephens 9.8% 11.2% 11.6% 12.1% 11.7% 13.9% 12.4% 9.3% 6.3% 1.8%
Jenna Kozal 9.2% 9.6% 10.9% 10.9% 12.7% 12.0% 12.8% 12.0% 7.5% 2.4%
Abigail Paul 13.7% 15.2% 14.2% 13.7% 12.6% 11.3% 8.0% 6.5% 3.6% 1.2%
Andrew Gallagher 13.8% 13.5% 13.2% 13.3% 13.4% 12.9% 10.0% 6.5% 2.9% 0.7%
Joseph Mowrey 7.5% 6.6% 7.8% 9.4% 9.8% 11.7% 13.7% 14.2% 13.3% 5.9%
Joseph Thuente 23.5% 19.4% 17.6% 13.5% 10.8% 6.3% 5.9% 2.2% 0.7% 0.1%
Dominique DeLano 13.2% 13.8% 12.3% 12.8% 12.8% 12.8% 9.9% 7.3% 4.1% 1.0%
Jolene Jirousek 4.9% 5.1% 5.3% 6.4% 7.4% 8.4% 12.0% 17.9% 20.2% 12.3%
Charlie Lemkuil 3.2% 3.8% 4.3% 5.8% 5.0% 6.2% 9.6% 14.2% 24.4% 23.4%
Alexander Maas 1.2% 1.8% 2.6% 2.2% 3.8% 4.5% 5.8% 9.7% 17.1% 51.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.