Race 3B

wellahan

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Mary Paz 21.5% 20.6% 17.5% 14.3% 12.0% 7.4% 4.3% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Victoria McGruer 16.4% 14.8% 16.7% 12.8% 12.8% 11.3% 7.6% 5.6% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Kate Levinson 18.1% 18.1% 15.1% 16.4% 12.0% 10.2% 6.0% 3.0% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Erica Lush 16.8% 16.3% 15.1% 16.8% 13.1% 10.4% 5.8% 3.7% 1.6% 0.4% 0.0%
MacKenzie MacRae 7.3% 8.6% 9.8% 9.1% 12.3% 11.8% 15.4% 12.4% 7.7% 4.9% 0.7%
Sarah Pollick 2.3% 2.2% 4.4% 3.5% 5.5% 6.3% 10.9% 14.7% 19.4% 19.4% 11.4%
Emmet Todd 5.5% 4.8% 5.9% 6.9% 8.6% 12.4% 14.3% 16.2% 13.6% 8.7% 3.1%
Jennifer Lee 6.8% 6.9% 7.8% 10.3% 10.6% 14.6% 11.6% 13.1% 11.3% 6.1% 0.9%
Emmet Austin 1.4% 2.6% 1.5% 2.5% 3.0% 4.0% 7.4% 8.8% 16.0% 31.4% 21.4%
Earl Lin 0.5% 0.4% 1.0% 1.0% 1.9% 2.5% 2.7% 4.4% 9.7% 17.0% 58.9%
Timothy Forgione 3.4% 4.7% 5.2% 6.4% 8.2% 9.1% 14.0% 16.2% 17.8% 11.4% 3.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.