Race 4B

wellahan

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Erica Lush 15.4% 17.9% 16.5% 15.7% 15.0% 10.4% 5.0% 2.5% 1.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Mary Paz 22.8% 20.2% 17.5% 14.8% 10.8% 7.9% 3.5% 1.7% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
MacKenzie MacRae 6.8% 7.9% 8.3% 9.0% 12.5% 14.0% 14.2% 14.1% 8.4% 4.4% 0.4%
Kate Levinson 18.3% 17.8% 16.7% 17.0% 11.7% 8.5% 6.3% 2.5% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Emmet Todd 4.7% 4.0% 7.1% 6.9% 8.1% 11.0% 14.1% 14.9% 15.0% 11.0% 3.2%
Jennifer Lee 5.7% 7.0% 8.3% 9.3% 10.3% 12.7% 15.2% 14.1% 9.1% 7.0% 1.3%
Timothy Forgione 4.1% 4.3% 5.2% 5.9% 8.5% 11.0% 11.6% 16.9% 16.2% 11.5% 4.8%
Emmet Austin 2.0% 1.0% 2.1% 2.1% 4.3% 4.3% 8.5% 9.9% 18.2% 25.3% 22.3%
Sarah Pollick 2.4% 3.5% 3.0% 3.7% 4.7% 6.6% 10.1% 15.7% 20.3% 20.2% 9.8%
Victoria McGruer 17.2% 15.6% 15.1% 14.5% 11.9% 11.7% 7.0% 4.3% 2.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Earl Lin 0.6% 0.8% 0.2% 1.1% 2.2% 1.9% 4.5% 3.4% 7.3% 19.8% 58.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.