Race 2B

first-year-icebreaker

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Samuel Stephens 10.7% 9.9% 11.6% 10.9% 13.8% 11.8% 12.8% 10.7% 6.0% 1.7%
Joseph Thuente 23.4% 21.6% 17.1% 13.2% 10.3% 6.5% 4.6% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
Jenna Kozal 8.8% 10.1% 9.8% 12.0% 11.3% 13.6% 13.2% 11.7% 7.6% 1.9%
Dominique DeLano 13.4% 11.4% 12.1% 14.1% 13.7% 12.8% 10.8% 6.7% 4.2% 1.1%
Abigail Paul 13.5% 14.0% 14.1% 13.6% 12.9% 11.8% 9.2% 6.7% 3.5% 0.7%
Joseph Mowrey 5.5% 7.9% 8.1% 8.6% 10.8% 12.2% 13.1% 15.4% 12.3% 6.0%
Jolene Jirousek 4.3% 4.5% 5.8% 6.3% 6.8% 8.8% 12.6% 16.0% 21.9% 13.0%
Andrew Gallagher 15.8% 14.7% 15.2% 13.5% 12.4% 10.0% 7.9% 7.0% 3.1% 0.6%
Charlie Lemkuil 2.9% 4.0% 4.2% 5.0% 5.1% 8.0% 10.2% 14.8% 23.8% 21.9%
Alexander Maas 1.8% 1.8% 2.0% 2.8% 2.9% 4.5% 5.7% 8.8% 16.8% 52.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.