Race 3B

first-year-icebreaker

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Samuel Stephens 10.2% 11.4% 10.9% 11.8% 11.5% 13.1% 12.1% 9.8% 7.0% 2.1%
Andrew Gallagher 15.0% 13.4% 14.3% 14.0% 12.9% 10.8% 8.9% 6.5% 3.1% 1.1%
Jenna Kozal 9.6% 10.9% 11.1% 11.6% 11.4% 13.0% 11.7% 11.3% 6.2% 3.2%
Dominique DeLano 12.6% 12.6% 14.6% 13.1% 12.8% 12.8% 10.4% 7.0% 3.5% 0.8%
Jolene Jirousek 4.2% 5.4% 5.2% 6.2% 9.0% 9.7% 11.1% 15.8% 19.6% 13.9%
Joseph Mowrey 7.0% 7.6% 6.6% 8.4% 9.8% 10.1% 13.9% 17.0% 13.1% 6.6%
Abigail Paul 13.3% 13.9% 14.3% 13.5% 14.1% 11.2% 8.9% 6.7% 3.4% 0.8%
Joseph Thuente 23.2% 18.9% 16.5% 13.9% 10.1% 8.5% 5.2% 2.6% 1.1% 0.1%
Charlie Lemkuil 3.6% 3.6% 4.3% 5.0% 4.9% 6.3% 11.5% 13.8% 24.7% 22.2%
Alexander Maas 1.2% 2.2% 2.1% 2.7% 3.6% 4.5% 6.3% 9.7% 18.4% 49.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.