Race 5B

wellahan

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Kate Levinson 18.2% 18.7% 17.8% 14.8% 11.6% 10.4% 5.4% 2.2% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0%
MacKenzie MacRae 7.5% 7.4% 10.0% 10.5% 12.5% 12.1% 14.4% 11.9% 9.8% 3.3% 0.6%
Erica Lush 16.3% 17.5% 17.2% 13.4% 14.1% 8.9% 7.9% 3.5% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Mary Paz 21.8% 19.3% 17.1% 16.4% 11.6% 6.4% 4.5% 1.8% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Victoria McGruer 17.1% 14.0% 14.2% 14.9% 14.2% 10.9% 7.2% 5.2% 1.8% 0.5% 0.0%
Jennifer Lee 5.4% 8.6% 6.8% 9.5% 9.9% 13.9% 14.4% 13.1% 10.8% 6.2% 1.4%
Emmet Todd 5.3% 5.1% 5.9% 7.4% 8.1% 12.5% 14.7% 15.2% 14.4% 8.9% 2.5%
Earl Lin 0.6% 0.9% 1.2% 0.8% 1.5% 1.8% 2.1% 5.5% 8.5% 16.3% 60.8%
Timothy Forgione 3.9% 3.7% 4.8% 4.5% 7.0% 10.4% 13.1% 16.8% 16.9% 13.5% 5.4%
Sarah Pollick 2.6% 3.3% 2.7% 4.9% 5.4% 7.6% 9.9% 14.1% 19.0% 21.9% 8.6%
Emmet Austin 1.3% 1.5% 2.3% 2.9% 4.1% 5.1% 6.4% 10.7% 16.3% 28.7% 20.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.