Race 4B

first-year-icebreaker

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jenna Kozal 9.0% 9.8% 10.7% 10.5% 12.8% 12.8% 14.1% 10.8% 6.9% 2.5%
Jolene Jirousek 4.9% 4.2% 5.3% 6.2% 8.9% 9.6% 12.8% 17.0% 18.6% 12.6%
Samuel Stephens 10.8% 12.2% 12.3% 11.6% 11.7% 13.2% 12.0% 8.3% 5.9% 1.9%
Abigail Paul 14.4% 14.6% 14.5% 13.5% 11.6% 11.5% 8.9% 6.4% 3.4% 1.2%
Joseph Thuente 23.4% 19.6% 16.8% 14.5% 10.7% 7.2% 4.8% 2.1% 0.8% 0.0%
Joseph Mowrey 7.2% 7.3% 7.5% 8.3% 9.6% 11.7% 13.1% 16.3% 12.6% 6.4%
Andrew Gallagher 13.5% 13.2% 13.0% 15.0% 14.0% 11.3% 8.9% 7.0% 3.1% 0.9%
Dominique DeLano 12.6% 14.2% 13.5% 13.4% 12.3% 11.5% 10.7% 7.3% 3.6% 0.9%
Charlie Lemkuil 2.8% 3.4% 4.2% 4.6% 5.1% 6.7% 9.2% 14.3% 26.4% 23.2%
Alexander Maas 1.5% 1.5% 2.1% 2.3% 3.2% 4.5% 5.4% 10.3% 18.9% 50.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.