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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.00+10.28vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.63+6.91vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.95+4.64vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.64+4.54vs Predicted
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5Tufts University4.08+1.93vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.79+2.02vs Predicted
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7Yale University4.55-1.69vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College4.05-1.03vs Predicted
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9Boston College4.12-2.22vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-0.28vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College3.78-2.77vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University2.54+1.03vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University3.26-3.04vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-7.33vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College3.18-4.58vs Predicted
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16Bates College1.32-0.02vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island3.05-5.89vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.47-2.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.28Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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8.91University of Vermont3.630.0%1st Place
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7.64Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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8.54Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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6.93Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.02Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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5.31Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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6.97Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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6.78Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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9.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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8.23Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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13.03Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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9.96Northeastern University3.260.0%1st Place
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6.67U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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10.42Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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15.98Bates College1.320.0%1st Place
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11.11University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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15.52Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Fraser | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 7.5% | 3.4% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| William Macdonald | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Lucas Adams | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| William Haeger | 8.6% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Graham Landy | 13.0% | 13.9% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Wefer | 9.0% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Raul Rios | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| David Alfonso | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
| Kevin Martland | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Robert Lippincott | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 10.7% | 16.9% | 15.0% | 9.3% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 1.3% |
| Avery Fanning | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jack McGuire | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 4.0% | 1.6% |
| Edward Moan | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 9.3% | 22.9% | 45.1% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 7.1% | 2.3% |
| Kyle Brego | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 10.8% | 28.5% | 34.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.