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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+8.69vs Predicted
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2Tufts University4.08+5.12vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College4.05+4.25vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.12+2.71vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.55+0.28vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.95+1.42vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University3.26+3.18vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College3.18+2.37vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.64-0.41vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont3.63-1.09vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.47+4.63vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College3.78-3.57vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-6.18vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island3.05-3.28vs Predicted
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15Boston University3.00-3.90vs Predicted
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16Bates College1.32-0.05vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University2.54-4.06vs Predicted
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18Harvard University3.79-10.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.69Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.0%1st Place
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7.12Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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7.25Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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6.71Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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5.28Yale University4.550.2%1st Place
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7.42Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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10.18Northeastern University3.260.0%1st Place
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10.37Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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8.59Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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8.91University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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15.63Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.470.0%1st Place
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8.43Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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6.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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10.72University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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11.1Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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15.95Bates College1.320.0%1st Place
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12.94Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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7.89Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Alfonso | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| William Haeger | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Wefer | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Raul Rios | 9.1% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Graham Landy | 15.2% | 13.7% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Macdonald | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 1.2% |
| Jack McGuire | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 5.0% | 1.0% |
| Lucas Adams | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Kyle Brego | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 27.5% | 37.4% |
| Kevin Martland | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Avery Fanning | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 2.5% |
| Cameron Fraser | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 3.0% |
| Edward Moan | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 9.8% | 23.4% | 44.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 11.6% | 15.5% | 15.1% | 8.6% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.