Race 5B

first-year-icebreaker

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jenna Kozal 8.6% 10.1% 11.4% 11.8% 10.8% 13.9% 13.4% 10.5% 7.1% 2.4%
Samuel Stephens 9.8% 11.8% 10.5% 12.2% 11.9% 12.9% 12.7% 9.8% 6.7% 1.8%
Joseph Thuente 23.2% 20.0% 17.6% 13.5% 10.0% 7.8% 4.8% 2.7% 0.4% 0.0%
Andrew Gallagher 15.7% 13.6% 14.2% 13.6% 12.6% 11.1% 9.3% 6.1% 2.9% 0.9%
Dominique DeLano 12.7% 13.3% 13.2% 14.4% 13.5% 11.3% 10.2% 7.4% 3.2% 0.8%
Abigail Paul 14.5% 14.5% 12.9% 13.6% 12.7% 11.1% 8.8% 7.1% 3.9% 1.1%
Joseph Mowrey 6.2% 6.4% 8.0% 8.5% 9.5% 10.2% 14.9% 16.4% 13.7% 6.3%
Charlie Lemkuil 3.0% 3.5% 4.2% 4.4% 7.6% 7.8% 8.6% 14.0% 24.5% 22.3%
Alexander Maas 1.7% 1.7% 2.5% 1.9% 3.3% 4.5% 5.7% 9.9% 18.1% 50.8%
Jolene Jirousek 4.5% 5.1% 5.3% 6.2% 8.1% 9.5% 11.8% 16.1% 19.8% 13.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.