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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.95+6.59vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.63+6.90vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.78+5.25vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.12+2.70vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College4.05+1.94vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.79+2.06vs Predicted
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7Tufts University4.08-0.09vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.64+0.54vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College3.18+1.42vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-2.87vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-1.31vs Predicted
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12Yale University4.55-6.45vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island3.05-2.25vs Predicted
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14Bates College1.32+1.81vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University3.26-4.92vs Predicted
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16Boston University3.00-4.82vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University2.54-4.07vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.47-2.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.59Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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8.9University of Vermont3.630.0%1st Place
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8.25Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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6.7Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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6.94Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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8.06Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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6.91Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.54Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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10.42Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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7.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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9.69Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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5.55Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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10.75University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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15.81Bates College1.320.0%1st Place
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10.08Northeastern University3.260.0%1st Place
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11.18Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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12.93Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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15.55Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Macdonald | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 9.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Raul Rios | 8.9% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Wefer | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| William Haeger | 8.4% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Lucas Adams | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Jack McGuire | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 2.0% |
| Avery Fanning | 9.1% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| David Alfonso | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 1.1% |
| Graham Landy | 13.2% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 5.9% | 2.7% |
| Edward Moan | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 10.3% | 22.4% | 42.9% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 4.4% | 0.8% |
| Cameron Fraser | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 3.3% |
| Robert Lippincott | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 16.7% | 15.4% | 7.7% |
| Kyle Brego | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 24.9% | 37.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.