Race 6B

first-year-icebreaker

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Samuel Stephens 10.7% 10.7% 11.5% 11.6% 12.8% 12.4% 10.8% 11.2% 6.3% 2.1%
Jenna Kozal 9.0% 10.4% 9.6% 10.8% 13.0% 13.3% 11.7% 12.7% 7.1% 2.4%
Joseph Mowrey 6.3% 6.8% 8.4% 8.8% 10.5% 11.7% 14.1% 14.6% 13.6% 5.1%
Abigail Paul 13.1% 14.8% 13.7% 13.8% 12.3% 12.0% 10.0% 6.9% 2.6% 0.9%
Andrew Gallagher 14.7% 15.7% 13.0% 14.1% 12.4% 11.6% 9.8% 5.1% 2.9% 0.8%
Dominique DeLano 13.6% 14.0% 13.1% 13.2% 13.6% 11.5% 9.6% 7.1% 3.8% 0.8%
Charlie Lemkuil 3.4% 3.6% 4.5% 4.7% 6.0% 6.9% 10.5% 13.9% 23.8% 22.7%
Jolene Jirousek 3.4% 3.3% 6.4% 6.6% 6.6% 9.3% 13.4% 17.3% 20.8% 13.0%
Alexander Maas 1.5% 1.7% 2.1% 3.1% 2.9% 4.2% 5.8% 8.6% 18.0% 52.3%
Joseph Thuente 24.4% 19.1% 17.9% 13.3% 9.8% 7.1% 4.5% 2.8% 1.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.