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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.55+4.48vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.78+6.29vs Predicted
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3Tufts University4.08+4.13vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont3.63+4.56vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College4.05+2.03vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.64+2.64vs Predicted
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7Boston College4.12-0.23vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.95-0.59vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.00+2.12vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-0.29vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College3.18-0.44vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.05-0.71vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.79-5.10vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University3.26-4.21vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.47+0.69vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-9.03vs Predicted
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17Bates College1.32-0.93vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University2.54-5.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.48Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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8.29Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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7.13Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.56University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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7.03Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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8.64Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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6.77Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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7.41Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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11.12Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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9.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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10.56Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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11.29University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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7.9Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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9.79Northeastern University3.260.0%1st Place
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15.69Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.470.0%1st Place
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6.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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16.07Bates College1.320.0%1st Place
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12.59Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Landy | 13.0% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| William Haeger | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Matthew Wefer | 8.5% | 10.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Lucas Adams | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Raul Rios | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| William Macdonald | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Cameron Fraser | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 1.9% |
| David Alfonso | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
| Jack McGuire | 4.1% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 2.1% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 7.7% | 2.7% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 1.0% |
| Kyle Brego | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 5.6% | 11.5% | 26.8% | 36.6% |
| Avery Fanning | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% |
| Edward Moan | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 8.7% | 22.5% | 47.3% |
| Robert Lippincott | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 16.2% | 13.6% | 5.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.