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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Samuel Stephens 9.9% 11.0% 10.9% 12.2% 13.8% 12.6% 12.2% 10.3% 5.3% 1.8%
Jenna Kozal 10.0% 10.8% 11.2% 11.2% 11.9% 12.6% 12.3% 11.1% 7.0% 1.9%
Joseph Thuente 24.1% 20.7% 16.5% 14.3% 8.8% 7.4% 4.8% 2.3% 0.9% 0.1%
Joseph Mowrey 6.7% 6.9% 7.4% 8.1% 10.8% 10.9% 14.2% 15.7% 13.4% 5.9%
Charlie Lemkuil 2.9% 2.8% 4.0% 4.3% 5.7% 7.6% 10.7% 15.2% 23.1% 23.8%
Andrew Gallagher 16.0% 12.2% 14.3% 14.3% 13.2% 11.6% 8.6% 5.8% 3.4% 0.8%
Dominique DeLano 12.8% 13.2% 13.8% 13.2% 12.4% 11.9% 11.1% 6.9% 3.9% 0.8%
Abigail Paul 12.0% 15.7% 14.3% 13.1% 12.8% 10.8% 10.1% 6.7% 3.6% 0.8%
Alexander Maas 1.8% 1.7% 2.1% 2.8% 2.5% 4.5% 5.4% 9.8% 18.8% 50.7%
Jolene Jirousek 4.0% 5.0% 5.3% 6.6% 8.1% 10.1% 10.6% 16.3% 20.7% 13.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.