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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan-0.01+3.92vs Predicted
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2Marquette University-0.12+3.02vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame0.80+0.23vs Predicted
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4Purdue University-0.51+2.00vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame-1.23+2.53vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame0.33-1.80vs Predicted
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7Michigan State University0.21-2.58vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan0.27-3.68vs Predicted
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9Michigan State University-1.88-0.46vs Predicted
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10Ohio State University-0.90-3.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.92University of Michigan-0.019.9%1st Place
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5.02Marquette University-0.1210.0%1st Place
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3.23University of Notre Dame0.8024.1%1st Place
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6.0Purdue University-0.516.7%1st Place
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7.53University of Notre Dame-1.232.9%1st Place
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4.2University of Notre Dame0.3316.0%1st Place
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4.42Michigan State University0.2112.8%1st Place
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4.32University of Michigan0.2712.0%1st Place
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8.54Michigan State University-1.881.8%1st Place
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6.82Ohio State University-0.904.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Samuel Stephens | 9.9% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 5.3% | 1.8% |
Jenna Kozal | 10.0% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 7.0% | 1.9% |
Joseph Thuente | 24.1% | 20.7% | 16.5% | 14.3% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
Joseph Mowrey | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 14.2% | 15.7% | 13.4% | 5.9% |
Charlie Lemkuil | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 15.2% | 23.1% | 23.8% |
Andrew Gallagher | 16.0% | 12.2% | 14.3% | 14.3% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
Dominique DeLano | 12.8% | 13.2% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 0.8% |
Abigail Paul | 12.0% | 15.7% | 14.3% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
Alexander Maas | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 9.8% | 18.8% | 50.7% |
Jolene Jirousek | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 16.3% | 20.7% | 13.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.