Race 8B

first-year-icebreaker

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jenna Kozal 9.0% 10.9% 10.8% 10.4% 11.8% 12.4% 13.4% 11.4% 7.3% 2.5%
Joseph Thuente 22.4% 20.8% 17.6% 14.3% 10.9% 6.6% 4.2% 2.6% 0.4% 0.1%
Samuel Stephens 11.6% 10.0% 10.8% 11.5% 13.2% 13.6% 11.8% 10.2% 5.5% 2.1%
Andrew Gallagher 15.6% 15.4% 15.3% 13.8% 11.6% 10.8% 8.8% 5.7% 2.5% 0.6%
Joseph Mowrey 6.6% 6.8% 7.5% 9.4% 9.5% 11.8% 14.0% 15.2% 13.4% 5.9%
Dominique DeLano 12.3% 12.8% 13.2% 13.2% 13.9% 10.7% 10.5% 7.8% 4.7% 0.8%
Abigail Paul 13.4% 14.4% 13.5% 12.8% 13.0% 12.4% 9.6% 6.6% 3.5% 1.0%
Jolene Jirousek 4.0% 3.6% 4.7% 7.4% 6.6% 9.8% 12.2% 15.8% 21.6% 14.3%
Alexander Maas 2.1% 1.7% 2.2% 2.1% 3.2% 5.1% 5.1% 9.7% 18.1% 50.6%
Charlie Lemkuil 3.1% 3.5% 4.4% 5.2% 6.2% 6.9% 10.4% 14.9% 23.0% 22.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.