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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University4.08+5.99vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College4.05+5.06vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+6.52vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.00+6.83vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.95+2.29vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College3.18+4.30vs Predicted
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7Boston College4.12-0.39vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont3.63+0.44vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.78-1.16vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.05+0.99vs Predicted
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11Yale University4.55-5.73vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University3.26-1.73vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.64-4.65vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island3.05-3.54vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-8.31vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.47-0.34vs Predicted
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17Bates College1.32-1.02vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University2.54-5.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.99Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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7.06Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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9.52Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.0%1st Place
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10.83Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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7.29Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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10.3Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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6.61Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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8.44University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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7.84Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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10.99Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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5.27Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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10.27Northeastern University3.260.0%1st Place
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8.35Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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10.46University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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6.69U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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15.66Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.470.0%1st Place
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15.98Bates College1.320.0%1st Place
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12.45Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Haeger | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Wefer | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| David Alfonso | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Fraser | 3.2% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 12.3% | 9.3% | 5.5% | 2.7% |
| William Macdonald | 7.7% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Jack McGuire | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 1.9% |
| Raul Rios | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Kevin Martland | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Michael Drumm | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 2.5% |
| Graham Landy | 14.5% | 13.4% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 1.2% |
| Lucas Adams | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 2.0% |
| Avery Fanning | 9.1% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Brego | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 11.3% | 24.3% | 38.0% |
| Edward Moan | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 10.2% | 22.7% | 45.5% |
| Robert Lippincott | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 14.7% | 14.4% | 5.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.