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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University0.64+2.14vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.43+0.34vs Predicted
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3Brown University0.45+0.68vs Predicted
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4Fairfield University-0.74+2.06vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University-0.47+0.45vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.97-0.10vs Predicted
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7Bates College-0.67-0.94vs Predicted
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8Amherst College-1.69-0.12vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-0.93-2.84vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University-2.02-1.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.14Boston University0.6420.7%1st Place
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2.34Roger Williams University1.4335.6%1st Place
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3.68Brown University0.4515.2%1st Place
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6.06Fairfield University-0.744.3%1st Place
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5.45Northeastern University-0.477.0%1st Place
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5.9University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.974.8%1st Place
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6.06Bates College-0.674.5%1st Place
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7.88Amherst College-1.692.1%1st Place
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6.16University of New Hampshire-0.934.3%1st Place
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8.34Salve Regina University-2.021.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
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Buck Rathbun | 20.7% | 21.9% | 20.2% | 15.4% | 10.7% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Jed Lory | 35.6% | 26.9% | 18.9% | 9.6% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Quinn Brighton | 15.2% | 17.3% | 18.4% | 16.4% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
Timothy Cronin | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 15.8% | 14.5% | 12.3% | 5.7% |
Gabrielle Ahitow | 7.0% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 14.8% | 14.2% | 14.2% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 2.9% |
Ian McCaffrey | 4.8% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 14.6% | 14.4% | 10.1% | 5.1% |
Amanda Yolles | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 13.3% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 5.7% |
Adrian Whitney | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 22.7% | 30.8% |
Lucas Wiatrowski | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 14.0% | 15.6% | 15.2% | 12.3% | 6.8% |
Victoria Sikorjak | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 13.0% | 19.8% | 42.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.