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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame0.80+2.17vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan-0.01+2.88vs Predicted
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3Marquette University-0.12+1.96vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan0.27+0.32vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University0.21-0.63vs Predicted
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6Purdue University-0.51-0.17vs Predicted
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7University of Notre Dame0.33-2.87vs Predicted
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8Ohio State University-0.90-1.39vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame-1.94-0.59vs Predicted
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10Michigan State University-1.88-1.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.17University of Notre Dame0.8025.6%1st Place
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4.88University of Michigan-0.019.6%1st Place
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4.96Marquette University-0.1210.2%1st Place
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4.32University of Michigan0.2713.4%1st Place
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4.37Michigan State University0.2112.8%1st Place
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5.83Purdue University-0.516.7%1st Place
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4.13University of Notre Dame0.3313.7%1st Place
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6.61Ohio State University-0.904.3%1st Place
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8.41University of Notre Dame-1.941.9%1st Place
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8.33Michigan State University-1.881.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Joseph Thuente | 25.6% | 19.0% | 16.8% | 14.6% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Samuel Stephens | 9.6% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 4.5% | 1.1% |
Jenna Kozal | 10.2% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 14.3% | 13.9% | 11.2% | 4.5% | 1.6% |
Abigail Paul | 13.4% | 14.0% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 14.8% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
Dominique DeLano | 12.8% | 13.4% | 13.6% | 14.5% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 7.4% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
Joseph Mowrey | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 15.6% | 11.8% | 4.5% |
Andrew Gallagher | 13.7% | 15.0% | 15.8% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
Jolene Jirousek | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 19.6% | 20.0% | 8.1% |
Theresa Villa | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 10.4% | 24.1% | 43.6% |
Alexander Maas | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 11.5% | 26.4% | 39.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.