Race 10B

first-year-icebreaker

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Samuel Stephens 10.4% 10.0% 12.0% 13.2% 13.8% 12.6% 11.8% 9.6% 5.0% 1.6%
Jenna Kozal 9.8% 10.4% 10.3% 10.5% 12.3% 13.7% 13.6% 10.8% 6.6% 1.8%
Abigail Paul 15.7% 13.2% 14.8% 13.2% 12.8% 12.2% 9.0% 6.7% 1.9% 0.5%
Andrew Gallagher 13.8% 14.9% 15.0% 14.6% 13.9% 11.9% 9.2% 4.4% 1.9% 0.4%
Dominique DeLano 11.9% 13.9% 13.7% 13.6% 14.2% 12.1% 9.8% 7.3% 2.9% 0.5%
Joseph Thuente 24.6% 21.3% 15.2% 14.4% 10.1% 8.2% 3.9% 2.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Jolene Jirousek 3.9% 5.6% 6.1% 5.6% 7.1% 9.7% 13.8% 20.2% 19.4% 8.6%
Joseph Mowrey 6.5% 7.3% 8.8% 8.2% 9.6% 10.9% 16.2% 16.2% 11.6% 4.6%
Theresa Villa 1.6% 1.7% 2.3% 3.5% 2.9% 4.1% 6.6% 12.0% 24.2% 41.0%
Alexander Maas 1.8% 1.7% 1.8% 3.1% 3.3% 4.6% 6.0% 10.6% 26.2% 40.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.