Race 11B

first-year-icebreaker

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Samuel Stephens 9.6% 10.9% 11.3% 13.2% 12.7% 12.7% 11.7% 10.5% 5.9% 1.5%
Abigail Paul 14.1% 13.0% 15.0% 13.2% 13.5% 12.3% 10.0% 5.9% 2.5% 0.4%
Jenna Kozal 10.4% 10.4% 10.7% 13.6% 11.9% 12.8% 13.0% 10.2% 5.6% 1.3%
Dominique DeLano 14.4% 13.0% 13.6% 12.8% 13.5% 12.3% 8.7% 7.2% 3.8% 0.7%
Joseph Thuente 24.2% 18.4% 17.2% 13.6% 11.3% 8.0% 4.6% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
Jolene Jirousek 3.7% 5.4% 5.1% 6.6% 8.2% 9.3% 13.6% 19.9% 18.2% 10.0%
Andrew Gallagher 13.9% 16.6% 15.1% 13.3% 12.3% 11.6% 8.7% 6.6% 1.4% 0.4%
Joseph Mowrey 6.3% 8.0% 7.3% 8.4% 9.4% 11.9% 16.4% 16.1% 11.9% 4.3%
Theresa Villa 1.4% 2.4% 2.4% 3.1% 3.6% 4.4% 5.9% 10.7% 25.1% 40.9%
Alexander Maas 1.9% 1.9% 2.2% 2.1% 3.5% 4.5% 7.4% 10.9% 25.0% 40.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.