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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.55+4.24vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.63+6.53vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College4.05+3.93vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.95+3.05vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.78+2.69vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+3.16vs Predicted
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7Boston College4.12-0.50vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.05+2.44vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.64-0.72vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.19+3.75vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University3.26-1.09vs Predicted
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12Tufts University4.08-5.09vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-6.44vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.00-3.55vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College3.18-5.00vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University2.54-3.50vs Predicted
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17Bates College1.32-1.17vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.47-2.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.24Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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8.53University of Vermont3.630.0%1st Place
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6.93Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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7.05Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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7.69Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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9.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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6.5Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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10.44Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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8.28Brown University3.640.0%1st Place
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13.75University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
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9.91Northeastern University3.260.0%1st Place
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6.91Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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6.56U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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10.45Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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10.0Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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12.5Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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15.83Bates College1.320.0%1st Place
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15.28Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Landy | 13.0% | 14.6% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Wefer | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| William Macdonald | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Kevin Martland | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| David Alfonso | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Raul Rios | 9.4% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Michael Drumm | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 4.1% | 1.4% |
| Lucas Adams | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Patrick Penwell | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 16.9% | 19.7% | 12.1% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| William Haeger | 10.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Avery Fanning | 10.1% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Fraser | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 1.5% |
| Jack McGuire | 4.0% | 2.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Robert Lippincott | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 15.0% | 11.5% | 5.9% |
| Edward Moan | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 10.9% | 21.0% | 43.5% |
| Kyle Brego | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 8.2% | 13.6% | 23.7% | 31.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.