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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College4.05+5.80vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.78+5.85vs Predicted
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3Boston College4.12+3.54vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.55+0.96vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont3.63+3.17vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College3.18+3.94vs Predicted
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7Tufts University4.08-0.50vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+0.95vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.00+1.61vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.95-2.72vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.64-2.67vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University3.26-2.07vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.08-6.54vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University2.08-0.56vs Predicted
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15Harvard University3.05-4.61vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.19-2.55vs Predicted
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17Bates College1.32-1.28vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22-2.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.8Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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7.85Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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6.54Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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4.96Yale University4.550.2%1st Place
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8.17University of Vermont3.630.1%1st Place
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9.94Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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6.5Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.95Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.0%1st Place
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10.61Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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7.28Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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8.33Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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9.93Northeastern University3.260.0%1st Place
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6.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.080.1%1st Place
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13.44Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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10.39Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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13.45University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
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15.72Bates College1.320.0%1st Place
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15.66Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Wefer | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Martland | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Raul Rios | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Graham Landy | 15.2% | 14.1% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Jack McGuire | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| William Haeger | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Alfonso | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Cameron Fraser | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| William Macdonald | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Adams | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Avery Fanning | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Shannon Killian | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 11.3% | 17.4% | 17.0% | 9.9% |
| Michael Drumm | 3.3% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Patrick Penwell | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 16.5% | 15.6% | 10.0% |
| Edward Moan | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 12.3% | 24.6% | 37.6% |
| George Luber | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 6.6% | 12.5% | 24.3% | 36.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.