Race 12B

first-year-icebreaker

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Dominique DeLano 13.2% 13.6% 14.3% 12.8% 13.9% 12.8% 8.8% 7.7% 2.5% 0.5%
Joseph Thuente 22.8% 20.7% 18.7% 14.0% 10.4% 7.2% 4.0% 1.8% 0.3% 0.1%
Jenna Kozal 9.2% 10.6% 11.2% 11.0% 11.7% 13.6% 13.5% 11.5% 6.6% 1.1%
Samuel Stephens 11.2% 11.7% 11.2% 12.3% 13.4% 12.4% 12.8% 9.4% 4.5% 1.1%
Abigail Paul 13.9% 14.8% 13.0% 14.4% 13.5% 12.1% 10.0% 5.5% 2.4% 0.5%
Joseph Mowrey 6.7% 5.9% 7.1% 9.4% 10.4% 11.7% 15.2% 16.8% 12.2% 4.5%
Andrew Gallagher 15.3% 14.6% 14.3% 14.1% 13.1% 11.8% 9.3% 5.7% 1.6% 0.4%
Theresa Villa 1.2% 1.5% 2.2% 2.1% 3.0% 4.0% 7.0% 11.5% 25.4% 41.9%
Jolene Jirousek 4.7% 4.8% 5.8% 7.0% 7.0% 9.9% 13.2% 19.1% 19.4% 9.2%
Alexander Maas 1.7% 1.8% 2.3% 2.9% 3.6% 4.6% 6.2% 10.9% 25.2% 40.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.