← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University3.73+6.47vs Predicted
-
2Yale University3.80+5.16vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+4.77vs Predicted
-
4Dartmouth College3.49+4.18vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University3.73+2.26vs Predicted
-
6Bowdoin College2.74+5.38vs Predicted
-
7Boston College3.92-0.46vs Predicted
-
8Northeastern University2.84+2.91vs Predicted
-
9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+0.14vs Predicted
-
10Harvard University3.49-1.52vs Predicted
-
11Brown University3.23-1.54vs Predicted
-
12Boston University3.70-4.26vs Predicted
-
13University of Vermont3.41-4.58vs Predicted
-
14University of Rhode Island2.95-3.86vs Predicted
-
15Salve Regina University2.45-2.59vs Predicted
-
16Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.97-1.81vs Predicted
-
17Connecticut College3.23-7.56vs Predicted
-
18Bates College1.65-3.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.47Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
-
7.16Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
-
7.77U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
-
8.18Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
-
7.26Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
-
11.38Bowdoin College2.740.0%1st Place
-
6.54Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
-
10.91Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
-
9.14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.0%1st Place
-
8.48Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
-
9.46Brown University3.230.1%1st Place
-
7.74Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
-
8.42University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
-
10.14University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
-
12.41Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
-
14.19Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.970.0%1st Place
-
9.44Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
-
14.91Bates College1.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 7.4% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Nikole Barnes | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Scott Houck | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Connor Corgard | 8.0% | 11.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Tom Peabody | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 7.0% |
| William Bailey | 9.7% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Conor Lodge | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 4.4% |
| David Larson | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Brian Drumm | 7.6% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Rice | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.0% |
| Ryan Astwood | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Nate Jermain | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.0% |
| John Silvestri | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 11.3% |
| Sean McLaughlin | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 12.2% | 18.0% | 25.4% |
| Bryce Kopp | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.2% |
| Samuel Scribner | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 17.2% | 37.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.