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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+6.87vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.49+6.49vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.73+4.43vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.49+4.18vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.80+1.97vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.92+0.60vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.73+0.31vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.23+1.27vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont3.41-0.54vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.95+0.72vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College3.23-1.57vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.70-4.30vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University2.45-0.71vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.74-2.99vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-5.91vs Predicted
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16Bates College1.65-0.93vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.84-5.90vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.97-4.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.87U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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8.49Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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7.43Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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8.18Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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6.97Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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6.6Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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7.31Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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9.27Brown University3.230.0%1st Place
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8.46University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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10.72University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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9.43Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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7.7Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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12.29Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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11.01Bowdoin College2.740.0%1st Place
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9.09Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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15.07Bates College1.650.0%1st Place
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11.1Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
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13.99Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikole Barnes | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Scott Houck | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Brian Drumm | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 9.1% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| William Bailey | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Connor Corgard | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Rice | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Nate Jermain | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 3.9% |
| Bryce Kopp | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Ryan Astwood | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| John Silvestri | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 11.1% |
| Tom Peabody | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 5.7% |
| David Larson | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 1.2% |
| Samuel Scribner | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 10.6% | 14.8% | 40.9% |
| Conor Lodge | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 6.4% |
| Sean McLaughlin | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 19.9% | 23.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.