Race 14B

first-year-icebreaker

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Abigail Paul 13.1% 13.4% 14.8% 13.9% 14.4% 12.3% 9.2% 5.3% 3.0% 0.5%
Andrew Gallagher 14.9% 14.5% 15.5% 14.6% 12.2% 10.2% 9.6% 5.2% 2.6% 0.7%
Dominique DeLano 12.8% 14.5% 12.6% 12.7% 13.0% 12.1% 11.8% 7.1% 2.6% 0.8%
Joseph Mowrey 6.3% 6.7% 8.2% 9.3% 10.3% 13.0% 14.4% 14.7% 12.2% 5.1%
Joseph Thuente 24.3% 19.9% 16.6% 13.3% 10.6% 7.8% 4.2% 2.4% 0.9% 0.1%
Samuel Stephens 11.1% 10.1% 11.3% 12.8% 12.8% 12.4% 13.2% 10.6% 4.5% 1.1%
Jenna Kozal 9.7% 11.5% 11.8% 11.2% 11.8% 13.0% 13.2% 10.5% 5.9% 1.4%
Jolene Jirousek 4.5% 4.9% 4.9% 7.0% 7.4% 10.0% 11.3% 20.3% 19.3% 10.3%
Alexander Maas 1.8% 2.2% 2.4% 2.9% 4.2% 4.6% 6.7% 12.3% 24.1% 39.0%
Theresa Villa 1.5% 2.4% 1.8% 2.4% 3.2% 4.8% 6.3% 11.6% 24.9% 41.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.