Race 15B

first-year-icebreaker

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Dominique DeLano 13.9% 13.5% 13.5% 13.2% 13.0% 12.4% 10.5% 6.9% 2.5% 0.6%
Jenna Kozal 9.6% 10.9% 11.1% 12.0% 12.8% 13.3% 12.8% 11.6% 4.6% 1.2%
Samuel Stephens 10.7% 11.2% 12.9% 11.2% 12.5% 12.6% 12.2% 10.1% 5.2% 1.5%
Andrew Gallagher 14.3% 15.8% 15.0% 14.1% 12.8% 10.9% 9.2% 5.3% 2.1% 0.4%
Joseph Thuente 24.5% 20.5% 15.2% 14.0% 11.6% 8.1% 4.2% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
Abigail Paul 14.2% 13.7% 14.1% 14.8% 12.9% 12.2% 9.3% 6.1% 2.5% 0.3%
Alexander Maas 1.3% 1.7% 2.5% 2.6% 3.4% 4.2% 7.8% 11.2% 25.1% 40.2%
Joseph Mowrey 5.8% 6.1% 8.3% 8.7% 9.7% 12.3% 15.2% 18.1% 11.7% 4.2%
Jolene Jirousek 4.5% 5.1% 5.5% 6.4% 8.5% 9.4% 13.4% 18.1% 20.1% 9.2%
Theresa Villa 1.2% 1.6% 1.9% 2.9% 3.0% 4.7% 5.3% 11.1% 25.9% 42.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.