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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.73+6.53vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.92+4.75vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.23+6.57vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.74+7.21vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.49+3.26vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.49+2.32vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.80+0.08vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.84+2.83vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.73-1.71vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.95+0.72vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.97+3.11vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University2.45+0.75vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont3.41-4.57vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.70-6.85vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-5.88vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.23-6.64vs Predicted
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17Bates College1.65-1.92vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-10.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.53Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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6.75Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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9.57Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
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11.21Bowdoin College2.740.0%1st Place
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8.26Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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8.32Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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7.08Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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10.83Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
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7.29Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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10.72University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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14.11Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.970.0%1st Place
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12.75Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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8.43University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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7.15Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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9.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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9.36Brown University3.230.1%1st Place
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15.08Bates College1.650.0%1st Place
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7.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| William Bailey | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Kopp | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Tom Peabody | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 6.9% |
| Brian Drumm | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Scott Houck | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Conor Lodge | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 4.4% |
| Connor Corgard | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 3.8% |
| Sean McLaughlin | 1.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 19.0% | 24.6% |
| John Silvestri | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 12.0% | 18.0% | 10.6% |
| Nate Jermain | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Ryan Astwood | 7.8% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| David Larson | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 1.5% |
| Tyler Rice | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 2.2% |
| Samuel Scribner | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 16.1% | 40.4% |
| Nikole Barnes | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.