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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.73+6.54vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.23+7.62vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.73+4.45vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.92+2.45vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.70+2.36vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+3.12vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.80+0.02vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.74+3.18vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont3.41-0.48vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.84+1.19vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.49-2.62vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University2.45+0.77vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.97+0.97vs Predicted
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14Bates College1.65+0.75vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.23-5.69vs Predicted
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16Harvard University3.49-7.68vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.95-6.40vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-10.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.54Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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9.62Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
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7.45Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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6.45Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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7.36Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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9.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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7.02Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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11.18Bowdoin College2.740.0%1st Place
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8.52University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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11.19Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
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8.38Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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12.77Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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13.97Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.970.0%1st Place
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14.75Bates College1.650.0%1st Place
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9.31Brown University3.230.1%1st Place
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8.32Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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10.6University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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7.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Corgard | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Bryce Kopp | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| William Bailey | 10.5% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Astwood | 7.7% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| David Larson | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Tom Peabody | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 5.9% |
| Nate Jermain | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Conor Lodge | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 4.2% |
| Scott Houck | 6.6% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| John Silvestri | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 15.2% |
| Sean McLaughlin | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 11.6% | 17.0% | 25.7% |
| Samuel Scribner | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 10.4% | 15.2% | 36.6% |
| Tyler Rice | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 1.0% |
| Brian Drumm | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 3.4% |
| Nikole Barnes | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.