← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+8.64vs Predicted
-
2Harvard University1.55+7.31vs Predicted
-
3University of Rhode Island1.61+5.23vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+1.90vs Predicted
-
5University of South Florida1.45+3.56vs Predicted
-
6Brown University1.72+2.47vs Predicted
-
7Fordham University1.62+1.03vs Predicted
-
8Brown University1.33+1.82vs Predicted
-
9Connecticut College1.45-0.38vs Predicted
-
10Catholic University of America1.31-1.04vs Predicted
-
11Fairfield University0.73+0.72vs Predicted
-
12Northeastern University1.71-4.54vs Predicted
-
13University of Vermont1.05-2.84vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Naval Academy1.64-6.26vs Predicted
-
15University of South Carolina0.63-2.43vs Predicted
-
16Bates College0.02-1.08vs Predicted
-
17Olin College of Engineering0.22-2.89vs Predicted
-
18Dartmouth College-0.05-2.95vs Predicted
-
19University of Wisconsin0.44-5.76vs Predicted
-
20Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.83-2.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.605.3%1st Place
-
9.31Harvard University1.555.0%1st Place
-
8.23University of Rhode Island1.617.1%1st Place
-
5.9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.0312.0%1st Place
-
8.56University of South Florida1.456.4%1st Place
-
8.47Brown University1.725.7%1st Place
-
8.03Fordham University1.628.2%1st Place
-
9.82Brown University1.334.7%1st Place
-
8.62Connecticut College1.456.0%1st Place
-
8.96Catholic University of America1.315.3%1st Place
-
11.72Fairfield University0.733.2%1st Place
-
7.46Northeastern University1.718.8%1st Place
-
10.16University of Vermont1.054.9%1st Place
-
7.74U. S. Naval Academy1.647.8%1st Place
-
12.57University of South Carolina0.632.7%1st Place
-
14.92Bates College0.021.2%1st Place
-
14.11Olin College of Engineering0.221.5%1st Place
-
15.05Dartmouth College-0.051.3%1st Place
-
13.24University of Wisconsin0.442.1%1st Place
-
17.48Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.830.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Snead | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Eric Hansen | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Miles Williams | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Emily Bornarth | 12.0% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Jed Bell | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Patrick Dolan | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Harris Padegs | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| John McKenna | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 1.6% |
| Will Priebe | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ian Street | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 3.5% |
| Jack Valentino | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 15.2% | 14.8% |
| James Jagielski | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 14.5% | 8.5% |
| Martha Rand | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 17.1% | 15.4% |
| George Lockwood | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 5.6% |
| Gunnar Pierson | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 9.0% | 16.7% | 46.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.