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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.73+6.45vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.74+9.50vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.80+4.15vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.23+5.12vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.70+2.31vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.72+5.31vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.73+0.29vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.92-1.58vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.49-0.92vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+1.55vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont3.41-2.39vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.69-4.27vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.84-2.27vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University2.45-1.90vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.49-6.89vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-8.41vs Predicted
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17Bates College1.65-1.95vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.97-4.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.45Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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11.5Bowdoin College2.740.0%1st Place
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7.15Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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9.12Connecticut College3.230.0%1st Place
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7.31Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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11.31University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
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7.29Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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6.42Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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8.08Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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11.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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8.61University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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7.73Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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10.73Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
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12.1Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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8.11Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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7.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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15.05Bates College1.650.0%1st Place
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13.89Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Tom Peabody | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 5.1% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Kopp | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Ryan Astwood | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Samuel Cushing | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 6.3% |
| Connor Corgard | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| William Bailey | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Brian Drumm | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Joseph Paggi | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 6.3% |
| Nate Jermain | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Judge Ryan | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Conor Lodge | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 4.4% |
| John Silvestri | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 9.5% |
| Scott Houck | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Nikole Barnes | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Samuel Scribner | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 11.4% | 15.2% | 40.2% |
| Sean McLaughlin | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 17.2% | 23.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.