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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+5.16vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College1.45+6.54vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.45+5.63vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.05+6.02vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.72+3.42vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.33+3.50vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.62+1.10vs Predicted
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8Catholic University of America1.31+0.75vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+0.54vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy1.64-2.08vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.61-3.08vs Predicted
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12Harvard University1.55-2.59vs Predicted
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13Olin College of Engineering0.22+1.23vs Predicted
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14Fairfield University0.73-2.45vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.71-7.23vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin0.44-2.73vs Predicted
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17University of South Carolina0.63-4.28vs Predicted
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18Bates College0.02-3.11vs Predicted
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19Dartmouth College-0.05-3.80vs Predicted
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20Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.83-2.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.0311.1%1st Place
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8.54Connecticut College1.455.2%1st Place
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8.63University of South Florida1.456.7%1st Place
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10.02University of Vermont1.055.0%1st Place
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8.42Brown University1.727.2%1st Place
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9.5Brown University1.335.2%1st Place
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8.1Fordham University1.626.9%1st Place
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8.75Catholic University of America1.315.9%1st Place
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9.54U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.605.3%1st Place
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7.92U. S. Naval Academy1.647.5%1st Place
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7.92University of Rhode Island1.618.1%1st Place
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9.41Harvard University1.555.3%1st Place
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14.23Olin College of Engineering0.221.9%1st Place
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11.55Fairfield University0.733.6%1st Place
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7.77Northeastern University1.717.9%1st Place
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13.27University of Wisconsin0.441.7%1st Place
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12.72University of South Carolina0.631.9%1st Place
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14.89Bates College0.021.5%1st Place
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15.2Dartmouth College-0.051.2%1st Place
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17.45Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.830.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Bornarth | 11.1% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harris Padegs | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Jed Bell | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Patrick Dolan | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| John McKenna | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Emma Snead | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Miles Williams | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Eric Hansen | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| James Jagielski | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 14.0% | 9.6% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 2.7% |
| Will Priebe | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| George Lockwood | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 5.0% |
| Ian Street | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 4.0% |
| Jack Valentino | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 13.5% | 16.7% | 13.5% |
| Martha Rand | 1.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 16.8% | 16.2% |
| Gunnar Pierson | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 16.6% | 45.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.