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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College1.45+7.67vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+3.98vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.45+5.57vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.62+3.95vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy1.64+2.83vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.05+3.91vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.33+2.68vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.72+0.31vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.61-1.02vs Predicted
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10Catholic University of America1.31-1.15vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin0.44+1.92vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-2.56vs Predicted
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13University of South Carolina0.63-0.46vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.71-6.46vs Predicted
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15Harvard University1.55-5.51vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College-0.05-0.91vs Predicted
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17Bates College0.02-2.39vs Predicted
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18Fairfield University0.73-6.72vs Predicted
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19Olin College of Engineering-0.69-2.83vs Predicted
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20Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.83-2.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.67Connecticut College1.456.6%1st Place
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5.98U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.0311.1%1st Place
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8.57University of South Florida1.455.8%1st Place
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7.95Fordham University1.627.6%1st Place
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7.83U. S. Naval Academy1.647.3%1st Place
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9.91University of Vermont1.054.5%1st Place
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9.68Brown University1.334.3%1st Place
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8.31Brown University1.726.7%1st Place
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7.98University of Rhode Island1.617.8%1st Place
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8.85Catholic University of America1.316.2%1st Place
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12.92University of Wisconsin0.442.2%1st Place
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9.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.605.6%1st Place
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12.54University of South Carolina0.632.1%1st Place
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7.54Northeastern University1.718.2%1st Place
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9.49Harvard University1.555.2%1st Place
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15.09Dartmouth College-0.051.1%1st Place
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14.61Bates College0.021.5%1st Place
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11.28Fairfield University0.734.5%1st Place
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16.17Olin College of Engineering-0.690.9%1st Place
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17.18Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.830.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harris Padegs | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Emily Bornarth | 11.1% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Dolan | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Jed Bell | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Miles Williams | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| John McKenna | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| George Lockwood | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 4.0% |
| Emma Snead | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Ian Street | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 2.6% |
| Will Priebe | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Eric Hansen | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Martha Rand | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 16.2% | 11.8% |
| Jack Valentino | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 14.1% | 14.9% | 11.7% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 1.8% |
| Alexander Miller | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 18.5% | 27.0% |
| Gunnar Pierson | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 11.8% | 19.6% | 38.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.