← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College3.49+7.41vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University3.73+5.40vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+4.72vs Predicted
-
4Yale University3.80+2.86vs Predicted
-
5Boston University3.70+2.27vs Predicted
-
6University of Rhode Island2.72+5.37vs Predicted
-
7Bowdoin College2.74+4.23vs Predicted
-
8Boston College3.92-1.55vs Predicted
-
9Brown University3.69-1.73vs Predicted
-
10Connecticut College3.23-0.48vs Predicted
-
11Harvard University3.49-2.67vs Predicted
-
12Northeastern University2.84-0.82vs Predicted
-
13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-1.79vs Predicted
-
14Bates College1.65+0.63vs Predicted
-
15Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.97-1.00vs Predicted
-
16Roger Williams University3.73-8.73vs Predicted
-
17Salve Regina University2.45-4.46vs Predicted
-
18University of Vermont3.41-9.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.41Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
-
7.4Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
-
7.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
-
6.86Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
-
7.27Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
-
11.37University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
-
11.23Bowdoin College2.740.0%1st Place
-
6.45Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
-
7.27Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
-
9.52Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
-
8.33Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
-
11.18Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
-
11.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
-
14.63Bates College1.650.0%1st Place
-
14.0Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.970.0%1st Place
-
7.27Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
-
12.54Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
-
8.33University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Houck | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Nikole Barnes | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Astwood | 8.6% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Samuel Cushing | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 5.6% |
| Tom Peabody | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 5.3% |
| William Bailey | 9.8% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Judge Ryan | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Bryce Kopp | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
| Brian Drumm | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Conor Lodge | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 5.2% |
| Joseph Paggi | 4.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 6.5% |
| Samuel Scribner | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 13.8% | 36.5% |
| Sean McLaughlin | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 18.3% | 23.1% |
| Connor Corgard | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| John Silvestri | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 11.4% |
| Nate Jermain | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.