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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.89+4.22vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii3.23+8.89vs Predicted
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3Brown University4.28+4.34vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida4.10+4.03vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University5.19-0.58vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston4.76-0.14vs Predicted
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7Washington College4.25+0.45vs Predicted
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8Tufts University4.33-0.93vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont4.60-2.54vs Predicted
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10University of Florida3.05+1.64vs Predicted
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11Texas A&M University1.90+3.62vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.42-1.63vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy4.34-5.73vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin4.10-5.91vs Predicted
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15University of Southern California3.58-5.18vs Predicted
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16Northwestern University2.37-2.38vs Predicted
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17University of Oregon1.84-2.16vs Predicted
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18Texas A&M University1.90-3.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.22Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
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10.89University of Hawaii3.230.0%1st Place
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7.34Brown University4.280.1%1st Place
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8.03University of South Florida4.100.1%1st Place
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4.42Georgetown University5.190.2%1st Place
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5.86College of Charleston4.760.1%1st Place
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7.45Washington College4.250.1%1st Place
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7.07Tufts University4.330.1%1st Place
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6.46University of Vermont4.600.1%1st Place
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11.64University of Florida3.050.0%1st Place
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14.62Texas A&M University1.900.0%1st Place
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10.37U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.420.0%1st Place
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7.27U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
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8.09University of Wisconsin4.100.0%1st Place
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9.82University of Southern California3.580.0%1st Place
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13.62Northwestern University2.370.0%1st Place
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14.84University of Oregon1.840.0%1st Place
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14.62Texas A&M University1.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Sinks | 13.7% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Petersen | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 13.8% | 11.9% | 7.3% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Jeff Knowles | 7.1% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Hall | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Buckingham | 17.7% | 16.2% | 14.5% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Juan Maegli | 9.4% | 9.5% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Blouin | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tomas Hornos | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Clinton Hayes | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Hursh | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 14.6% | 9.5% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Haltom | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 13.2% | 23.0% | 35.5% | 0.0% |
| Gary Herring | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Robert Vann | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Vetter | 3.4% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Michael Cornew | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 11.5% | 17.7% | 21.4% | 16.2% | 0.0% |
| Craig Emmes | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 11.8% | 23.0% | 37.4% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Haltom | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 13.2% | 23.0% | 35.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.