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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1San Diego State University1.47+4.80vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College1.17+3.74vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida-0.31+10.70vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.70+0.78vs Predicted
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5Washington College0.19+5.67vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University0.60+2.14vs Predicted
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7University of Texas0.41+3.18vs Predicted
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8Rice University0.91-0.61vs Predicted
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9University of Central Florida-0.20+3.95vs Predicted
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10Clemson University0.73-2.89vs Predicted
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11Texas A&M University1.30-5.17vs Predicted
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12University of Virginia0.04-1.38vs Predicted
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13Florida Institute of Technology-0.88+1.04vs Predicted
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14Hope College-0.31-1.63vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University-0.41-0.53vs Predicted
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16William and Mary-1.40+0.26vs Predicted
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17Michigan State University-0.44-4.35vs Predicted
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18University of North Carolina-0.92-3.53vs Predicted
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19The Citadel-0.27-6.64vs Predicted
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20North Carolina State University-0.03-9.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.8San Diego State University1.4712.0%1st Place
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5.74Eckerd College1.1712.3%1st Place
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13.7University of South Florida-0.311.5%1st Place
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4.78Jacksonville University1.7016.1%1st Place
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10.67Washington College0.193.0%1st Place
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8.14Christopher Newport University0.606.1%1st Place
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10.18University of Texas0.414.1%1st Place
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7.39Rice University0.917.1%1st Place
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12.95University of Central Florida-0.201.9%1st Place
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7.11Clemson University0.737.8%1st Place
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5.83Texas A&M University1.3010.4%1st Place
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10.62University of Virginia0.043.4%1st Place
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14.04Florida Institute of Technology-0.881.7%1st Place
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12.37Hope College-0.312.4%1st Place
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14.47Arizona State University-0.411.5%1st Place
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16.26William and Mary-1.400.9%1st Place
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12.65Michigan State University-0.441.6%1st Place
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14.47University of North Carolina-0.921.3%1st Place
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12.36The Citadel-0.271.9%1st Place
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10.48North Carolina State University-0.033.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Smith | 12.0% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Vieira | 12.3% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Floerchinger | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 9.0% |
| Patrick Igoe | 16.1% | 13.6% | 14.5% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Aston Atherton | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Reese Zebrowski | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Ricky Miller | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Charlie Eckert | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 4.9% |
| Nilah Miller | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Scott Mather | 10.4% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Claire Miller | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| William Mullray | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 11.1% |
| Caroline Henry | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 4.3% |
| Mitchell Powers | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 13.6% |
| Harrison Rohne | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 11.2% | 14.7% | 30.4% |
| Ryan Dodge | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 4.0% |
| Emma Gumny | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 14.8% |
| Bradlee Anderson | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 3.8% |
| Annika Milstien | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.