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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.05+8.97vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College1.45+6.55vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.61+4.98vs Predicted
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4Harvard University1.55+5.37vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy1.64+2.85vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.71+1.47vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America1.31+1.99vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03-1.86vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.33+0.42vs Predicted
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10University of South Carolina0.63+2.47vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.62-3.27vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-2.56vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin0.440.00vs Predicted
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14Olin College of Engineering-0.69+2.34vs Predicted
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15Brown University1.72-6.68vs Predicted
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16Fairfield University0.73-4.49vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College-0.05-1.96vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida1.45-9.55vs Predicted
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19Bates College0.02-4.32vs Predicted
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20Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.83-2.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.97University of Vermont1.055.0%1st Place
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8.55Connecticut College1.455.9%1st Place
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7.98University of Rhode Island1.617.1%1st Place
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9.37Harvard University1.555.9%1st Place
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7.85U. S. Naval Academy1.647.8%1st Place
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7.47Northeastern University1.718.5%1st Place
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8.99Catholic University of America1.315.7%1st Place
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6.14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.0311.0%1st Place
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9.42Brown University1.335.3%1st Place
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12.47University of South Carolina0.632.8%1st Place
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7.73Fordham University1.628.3%1st Place
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9.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.604.3%1st Place
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13.0University of Wisconsin0.442.4%1st Place
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16.34Olin College of Engineering-0.690.9%1st Place
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8.32Brown University1.726.1%1st Place
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11.51Fairfield University0.733.0%1st Place
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15.04Dartmouth College-0.051.2%1st Place
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8.45University of South Florida1.457.3%1st Place
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14.68Bates College0.021.2%1st Place
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17.26Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.830.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calvin Lamosse | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Harris Padegs | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Miles Williams | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Eric Hansen | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Will Priebe | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| John McKenna | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Emily Bornarth | 11.0% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Ian Street | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 3.2% |
| Patrick Dolan | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Emma Snead | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| George Lockwood | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 4.2% |
| Alexander Miller | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 12.3% | 20.9% | 26.2% |
| Jed Bell | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 1.6% |
| Martha Rand | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 13.7% | 16.3% | 13.0% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jack Valentino | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 16.4% | 10.5% |
| Gunnar Pierson | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 10.7% | 18.8% | 39.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.