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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College3.23+8.35vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+9.13vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.73+4.36vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.70+3.14vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.49+3.10vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.84+4.74vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.69+0.27vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+0.92vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.74+2.16vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont3.41-1.31vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.49-2.73vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.72-0.45vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.80-6.22vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.97-0.30vs Predicted
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15Boston College3.92-8.64vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University3.73-8.79vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University2.45-4.53vs Predicted
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18Bates College1.65-3.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.35Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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11.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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7.36Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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7.14Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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8.1Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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10.74Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
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7.27Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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8.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.0%1st Place
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11.16Bowdoin College2.740.0%1st Place
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8.69University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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8.27Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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11.55University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
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6.78Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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13.7Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.970.0%1st Place
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6.36Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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7.21Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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12.47Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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14.79Bates College1.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Kopp | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 1.4% |
| Bradley Milliken | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 4.4% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Ryan Astwood | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Brian Drumm | 6.6% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Conor Lodge | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 4.4% |
| Judge Ryan | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| David Larson | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Tom Peabody | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 4.5% |
| Nate Jermain | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Scott Houck | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% |
| Samuel Cushing | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 7.5% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 10.2% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Sean McLaughlin | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 16.4% | 23.7% |
| William Bailey | 10.2% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Connor Corgard | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| John Silvestri | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 11.1% |
| Samuel Scribner | 1.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 16.7% | 36.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.