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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+5.22vs Predicted
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2Catholic University of America1.31+6.85vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.05+7.04vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.33+5.64vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College1.45+3.62vs Predicted
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6Harvard University1.55+3.25vs Predicted
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7Fairfield University0.73+4.51vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.45+0.77vs Predicted
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9Fordham University1.62-1.03vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.72-1.52vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin0.44+2.28vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.61-3.92vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy1.64-5.09vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.71-6.38vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-5.55vs Predicted
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16Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.83+1.22vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College-0.05-1.84vs Predicted
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18Bates College0.02-3.06vs Predicted
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19University of South Carolina0.63-6.37vs Predicted
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20Olin College of Engineering0.22-5.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.0311.6%1st Place
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8.85Catholic University of America1.316.0%1st Place
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10.04University of Vermont1.055.1%1st Place
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9.64Brown University1.334.7%1st Place
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8.62Connecticut College1.456.2%1st Place
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9.25Harvard University1.555.7%1st Place
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11.51Fairfield University0.732.9%1st Place
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8.77University of South Florida1.455.4%1st Place
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7.97Fordham University1.627.8%1st Place
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8.48Brown University1.726.9%1st Place
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13.28University of Wisconsin0.442.2%1st Place
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8.08University of Rhode Island1.616.8%1st Place
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7.91U. S. Naval Academy1.647.0%1st Place
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7.62Northeastern University1.718.6%1st Place
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9.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.606.0%1st Place
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17.22Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.830.7%1st Place
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15.16Dartmouth College-0.051.7%1st Place
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14.94Bates College0.021.2%1st Place
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12.63University of South Carolina0.631.9%1st Place
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14.34Olin College of Engineering0.221.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Bornarth | 11.6% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John McKenna | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Harris Padegs | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Eric Hansen | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 2.6% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Dolan | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jed Bell | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| George Lockwood | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 5.5% |
| Miles Williams | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Will Priebe | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Emma Snead | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Gunnar Pierson | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 16.4% | 44.6% |
| Martha Rand | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 13.2% | 18.4% | 15.2% |
| Jack Valentino | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 16.2% | 14.3% |
| Ian Street | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 4.0% |
| James Jagielski | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 13.9% | 10.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.