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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.69+6.49vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+9.13vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.92+3.55vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.23+4.99vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.49+3.02vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+3.01vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.80-0.19vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.49+0.05vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont3.41-0.73vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.73-2.63vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.72+0.32vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.84-0.86vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.70-5.87vs Predicted
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14Bates College1.65+0.66vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.97-1.08vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.74-4.79vs Predicted
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17Tufts University3.73-9.71vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University2.29-5.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.49Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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11.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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6.55Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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8.99Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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8.02Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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9.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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6.81Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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8.05Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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8.27University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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7.37Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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11.32University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
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11.14Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
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7.13Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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14.66Bates College1.650.0%1st Place
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13.92Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.970.0%1st Place
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11.21Bowdoin College2.740.0%1st Place
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7.29Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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12.64Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Judge Ryan | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Bradley Milliken | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 4.3% |
| William Bailey | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Bryce Kopp | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| Scott Houck | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| David Larson | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 1.5% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 8.6% | 11.1% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Brian Drumm | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Nate Jermain | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Connor Corgard | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Cushing | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.1% |
| Conor Lodge | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 5.9% |
| Ryan Astwood | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Samuel Scribner | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 15.6% | 35.4% |
| Sean McLaughlin | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 17.3% | 23.3% |
| Tom Peabody | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 5.8% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Christopher Jensen | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 12.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.