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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+7.95vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.49+6.07vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.74+8.19vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+6.44vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.49+2.85vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.69+1.06vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.70+0.03vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont3.41+0.09vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University2.29+3.61vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College3.23-0.84vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.77-0.08vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.73-4.78vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.84-2.61vs Predicted
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14Boston College3.92-7.97vs Predicted
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15Yale University3.80-8.43vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.72-5.00vs Predicted
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17Bates College1.65-2.19vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.97-4.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.95Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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8.07Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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11.19Bowdoin College2.740.0%1st Place
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10.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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7.85Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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7.06Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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7.03Boston University3.700.1%1st Place
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8.09University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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12.61Salve Regina University2.290.0%1st Place
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9.16Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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10.92Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
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7.22Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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10.39Northeastern University2.840.0%1st Place
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6.03Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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6.57Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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11.0University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
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14.81Bates College1.650.0%1st Place
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13.6Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Larson | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 0.8% |
| Scott Houck | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Tom Peabody | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 5.2% |
| Bradley Milliken | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% |
| Brian Drumm | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Judge Ryan | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Astwood | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Nate Jermain | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Christopher Jensen | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 14.6% | 11.7% |
| Bryce Kopp | 6.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Henry Vogel | 4.4% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 5.4% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Conor Lodge | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 3.8% |
| William Bailey | 11.0% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 9.6% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Cushing | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 6.0% |
| Samuel Scribner | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 15.9% | 38.0% |
| Sean McLaughlin | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 16.7% | 20.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.