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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.61+7.06vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy1.64+5.72vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College1.45+5.38vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+2.16vs Predicted
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5Fairfield University0.73+6.63vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.45+2.70vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.72+1.29vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College-0.05+6.94vs Predicted
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9Catholic University of America1.31-0.30vs Predicted
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10University of South Carolina0.63+2.42vs Predicted
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11Harvard University1.55-1.85vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-2.71vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin0.44+0.15vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.62-5.88vs Predicted
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15Olin College of Engineering-0.69+1.38vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont1.05-5.92vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.71-9.35vs Predicted
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18Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.83-0.77vs Predicted
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19Bates College0.02-4.32vs Predicted
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20Brown University1.33-10.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.06University of Rhode Island1.617.3%1st Place
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7.72U. S. Naval Academy1.648.0%1st Place
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8.38Connecticut College1.456.8%1st Place
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6.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.0310.8%1st Place
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11.63Fairfield University0.733.5%1st Place
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8.7University of South Florida1.456.3%1st Place
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8.29Brown University1.726.7%1st Place
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14.94Dartmouth College-0.051.5%1st Place
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8.7Catholic University of America1.316.4%1st Place
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12.42University of South Carolina0.633.1%1st Place
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9.15Harvard University1.555.3%1st Place
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9.29U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.605.1%1st Place
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13.15University of Wisconsin0.441.7%1st Place
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8.12Fordham University1.627.8%1st Place
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16.38Olin College of Engineering-0.690.9%1st Place
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10.08University of Vermont1.054.2%1st Place
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7.65Northeastern University1.717.4%1st Place
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17.23Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.830.8%1st Place
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14.68Bates College0.021.3%1st Place
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9.26Brown University1.335.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Williams | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Harris Padegs | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Emily Bornarth | 10.8% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 1.7% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Jed Bell | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Martha Rand | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 13.5% | 16.2% | 12.5% |
| John McKenna | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Ian Street | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 2.6% |
| Eric Hansen | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Emma Snead | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| George Lockwood | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 3.9% |
| Patrick Dolan | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Miller | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 13.4% | 18.6% | 27.4% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Will Priebe | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gunnar Pierson | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 10.6% | 20.2% | 38.9% |
| Jack Valentino | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 14.1% | 14.1% | 10.8% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.