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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan Technological University-0.05+2.86vs Predicted
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2Western Michigan University0.51+1.02vs Predicted
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3Hope College0.28+0.25vs Predicted
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4Hope College-0.83+1.15vs Predicted
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5Northern Michigan University-1.42+1.18vs Predicted
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6University of Chicago-1.32+0.14vs Predicted
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7Western Michigan University-1.84+0.06vs Predicted
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8Michigan Technological University-1.94-0.82vs Predicted
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9Ohio State University0.34-5.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.86Michigan Technological University-0.050.1%1st Place
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3.02Western Michigan University0.510.2%1st Place
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3.25Hope College0.280.2%1st Place
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5.15Hope College-0.830.1%1st Place
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6.18Northern Michigan University-1.420.0%1st Place
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6.14University of Chicago-1.320.0%1st Place
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7.06Western Michigan University-1.840.0%1st Place
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7.18Michigan Technological University-1.940.0%1st Place
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3.15Ohio State University0.340.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Florek | 14.8% | 14.3% | 16.7% | 17.3% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 0.4% |
| Jack Greve | 22.5% | 23.5% | 18.8% | 14.3% | 11.5% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Libby Reeg | 21.4% | 19.6% | 16.5% | 16.3% | 13.0% | 9.0% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Evelyn Ritter | 6.3% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 15.3% | 17.0% | 16.1% | 10.0% | 4.8% |
| Michael Small | 3.4% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 19.5% | 16.8% | 16.4% |
| Katy Carlyle | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 11.4% | 15.1% | 18.2% | 20.9% | 12.2% |
| Elliott Klose | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 14.8% | 24.1% | 30.6% |
| Tray Foster | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 10.7% | 14.6% | 22.1% | 34.8% |
| David Aspery | 23.3% | 18.7% | 18.8% | 16.2% | 11.4% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.