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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Michigan University0.51+1.82vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University-0.05+1.88vs Predicted
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3Hope College-0.83+2.14vs Predicted
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4Hope College0.28-0.88vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University0.34-1.96vs Predicted
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6University of Chicago-1.89+0.91vs Predicted
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7Northern Michigan University-1.42-0.82vs Predicted
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8Western Michigan University-1.84-1.14vs Predicted
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9Michigan Technological University-1.94-1.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.82Western Michigan University0.510.3%1st Place
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3.88Michigan Technological University-0.050.1%1st Place
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5.14Hope College-0.830.1%1st Place
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3.12Hope College0.280.2%1st Place
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3.04Ohio State University0.340.2%1st Place
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6.91University of Chicago-1.890.0%1st Place
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6.18Northern Michigan University-1.420.0%1st Place
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6.86Western Michigan University-1.840.0%1st Place
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7.04Michigan Technological University-1.940.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Greve | 26.6% | 21.8% | 19.9% | 15.9% | 8.9% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Joel Florek | 10.4% | 16.2% | 18.2% | 18.9% | 16.0% | 11.2% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Evelyn Ritter | 5.6% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 17.6% | 18.5% | 16.6% | 9.1% | 3.2% |
| Libby Reeg | 21.3% | 19.8% | 20.3% | 17.0% | 11.3% | 7.1% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| David Aspery | 24.6% | 21.5% | 18.0% | 14.3% | 11.1% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Slajus | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 7.9% | 11.5% | 18.2% | 22.6% | 26.4% |
| Michael Small | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 8.2% | 12.1% | 17.3% | 18.4% | 19.9% | 12.1% |
| Elliott Klose | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 8.4% | 12.6% | 16.7% | 22.1% | 26.3% |
| Tray Foster | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 11.6% | 16.9% | 20.8% | 31.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.