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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.64+6.86vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+4.34vs Predicted
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3Fairfield University0.73+8.64vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.61+4.04vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.45+3.48vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.45+2.52vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.71+0.44vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin0.44+5.27vs Predicted
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9University of South Carolina0.63+3.22vs Predicted
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10Catholic University of America1.31-1.31vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-1.42vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.05-2.10vs Predicted
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13Harvard University1.55-4.01vs Predicted
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14Brown University1.33-4.56vs Predicted
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15Brown University1.72-6.72vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.62-7.98vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College-0.05-1.93vs Predicted
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18Bates College0.02-3.33vs Predicted
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19Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.83-1.69vs Predicted
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20Olin College of Engineering-0.69-3.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.86U. S. Naval Academy1.647.6%1st Place
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6.34U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.0311.0%1st Place
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11.64Fairfield University0.733.5%1st Place
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8.04University of Rhode Island1.617.3%1st Place
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8.48University of South Florida1.455.7%1st Place
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8.52Connecticut College1.456.2%1st Place
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7.44Northeastern University1.718.1%1st Place
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13.27University of Wisconsin0.442.5%1st Place
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12.22University of South Carolina0.633.5%1st Place
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8.69Catholic University of America1.315.8%1st Place
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9.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.604.5%1st Place
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9.9University of Vermont1.054.6%1st Place
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8.99Harvard University1.556.7%1st Place
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9.44Brown University1.334.9%1st Place
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8.28Brown University1.725.9%1st Place
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8.02Fordham University1.627.4%1st Place
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15.07Dartmouth College-0.051.2%1st Place
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14.67Bates College0.021.8%1st Place
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17.31Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.830.5%1st Place
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16.26Olin College of Engineering-0.691.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caden Scheiblauer | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emily Bornarth | 11.0% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 1.7% |
| Miles Williams | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Harris Padegs | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Will Priebe | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| George Lockwood | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 8.5% | 4.1% |
| Ian Street | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 5.7% | 2.6% |
| John McKenna | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Emma Snead | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Eric Hansen | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Jed Bell | 5.9% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Dolan | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Martha Rand | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 17.2% | 12.7% |
| Jack Valentino | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 13.2% | 17.0% | 9.9% |
| Gunnar Pierson | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 18.4% | 40.4% |
| Alexander Miller | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 12.2% | 19.5% | 26.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.