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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.61+6.65vs Predicted
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2Harvard University1.55+7.07vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+3.12vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+5.42vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.05+5.12vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.72+2.22vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.62+0.82vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.33+1.40vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.45-0.30vs Predicted
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10University of South Carolina0.63+2.40vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy1.64-3.31vs Predicted
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12Bates College0.02+2.89vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.45-4.50vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College0.36-0.40vs Predicted
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15Catholic University of America1.31-6.43vs Predicted
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16Fairfield University0.73-4.50vs Predicted
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17Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.83+0.20vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin0.44-4.99vs Predicted
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19Northeastern University0.73-7.00vs Predicted
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20Olin College of Engineering0.22-5.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.65University of Rhode Island1.618.5%1st Place
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9.07Harvard University1.555.1%1st Place
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6.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.0311.2%1st Place
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9.42U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.605.5%1st Place
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10.12University of Vermont1.054.1%1st Place
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8.22Brown University1.727.0%1st Place
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7.82Fordham University1.627.7%1st Place
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9.4Brown University1.335.8%1st Place
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8.7University of South Florida1.457.0%1st Place
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12.4University of South Carolina0.632.6%1st Place
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7.69U. S. Naval Academy1.647.4%1st Place
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14.89Bates College0.021.4%1st Place
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8.5Connecticut College1.456.6%1st Place
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13.6Dartmouth College0.362.0%1st Place
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8.57Catholic University of America1.316.0%1st Place
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11.5Fairfield University0.733.6%1st Place
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17.2Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.830.4%1st Place
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13.01University of Wisconsin0.442.5%1st Place
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12.0Northeastern University0.733.4%1st Place
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14.11Olin College of Engineering0.222.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Williams | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Eric Hansen | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Emily Bornarth | 11.2% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Emma Snead | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Jed Bell | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Dolan | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Ian Street | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 4.4% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jack Valentino | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 17.3% | 14.2% |
| Harris Padegs | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Connor Vogel | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 7.5% |
| John McKenna | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 2.5% |
| Gunnar Pierson | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 13.6% | 47.2% |
| George Lockwood | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 5.9% |
| Liam Lawless | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 3.5% |
| James Jagielski | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 14.5% | 11.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.