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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Michigan University0.51+1.80vs Predicted
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2Hope College0.28+1.25vs Predicted
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3Hope College-0.83+2.04vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University-0.05-0.40vs Predicted
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5University of Chicago-1.89+1.68vs Predicted
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6Western Michigan University-1.84+0.72vs Predicted
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7Northern Michigan University-1.97-0.01vs Predicted
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8Michigan Technological University-1.94-1.09vs Predicted
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9Ohio State University0.34-5.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.8Western Michigan University0.510.3%1st Place
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3.25Hope College0.280.2%1st Place
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5.04Hope College-0.830.1%1st Place
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3.6Michigan Technological University-0.050.1%1st Place
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6.68University of Chicago-1.890.0%1st Place
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6.72Western Michigan University-1.840.0%1st Place
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6.99Northern Michigan University-1.970.0%1st Place
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6.91Michigan Technological University-1.940.0%1st Place
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3.02Ohio State University0.340.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Greve | 26.0% | 23.7% | 17.8% | 17.2% | 9.1% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Libby Reeg | 18.9% | 20.5% | 20.7% | 14.9% | 12.2% | 8.3% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Evelyn Ritter | 6.8% | 6.4% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 17.3% | 19.3% | 16.2% | 7.6% | 2.6% |
| Joel Florek | 14.6% | 17.6% | 17.6% | 19.3% | 14.7% | 9.4% | 4.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Alexander Slajus | 1.9% | 2.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 10.0% | 13.2% | 18.0% | 19.9% | 23.0% |
| Elliott Klose | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 9.0% | 13.1% | 19.5% | 23.2% | 20.6% |
| Ian Pope | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 8.4% | 12.6% | 17.5% | 23.0% | 27.3% |
| Tray Foster | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 14.2% | 16.6% | 23.1% | 25.7% |
| David Aspery | 24.6% | 19.9% | 18.4% | 16.1% | 12.4% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.