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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.33+8.47vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.72+6.31vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy1.64+4.71vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.62+3.75vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+4.31vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.45+2.44vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.05+2.93vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.61-0.14vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin0.44+4.23vs Predicted
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10University of South Carolina0.63+2.33vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University0.73+0.88vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03-6.04vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College0.36+0.56vs Predicted
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14Bates College0.02+0.84vs Predicted
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15Harvard University1.55-5.74vs Predicted
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16Catholic University of America1.31-7.40vs Predicted
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17Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.83+0.60vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida1.45-9.48vs Predicted
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19Olin College of Engineering0.22-5.07vs Predicted
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20Fairfield University0.73-8.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.47Brown University1.335.6%1st Place
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8.31Brown University1.727.2%1st Place
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7.71U. S. Naval Academy1.647.9%1st Place
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7.75Fordham University1.627.5%1st Place
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9.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.605.2%1st Place
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8.44Connecticut College1.456.2%1st Place
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9.93University of Vermont1.054.6%1st Place
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7.86University of Rhode Island1.617.8%1st Place
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13.23University of Wisconsin0.441.8%1st Place
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12.33University of South Carolina0.632.9%1st Place
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11.88Northeastern University0.733.4%1st Place
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5.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.0312.0%1st Place
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13.56Dartmouth College0.362.1%1st Place
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14.84Bates College0.021.5%1st Place
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9.26Harvard University1.555.9%1st Place
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8.6Catholic University of America1.316.7%1st Place
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17.6Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.830.5%1st Place
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8.52University of South Florida1.455.2%1st Place
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13.93Olin College of Engineering0.222.7%1st Place
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11.52Fairfield University0.733.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Costikyan | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Jed Bell | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Dolan | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Emma Snead | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Harris Padegs | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Miles Williams | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| George Lockwood | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 6.6% |
| Ian Street | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 4.5% |
| Liam Lawless | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 2.5% |
| Emily Bornarth | 12.0% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Vogel | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 7.7% |
| Jack Valentino | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 17.1% | 14.5% |
| Eric Hansen | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| John McKenna | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Gunnar Pierson | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 15.7% | 49.2% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| James Jagielski | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 8.9% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 2.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.