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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Michigan University0.51+1.79vs Predicted
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2Hope College-0.83+3.14vs Predicted
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3Michigan Technological University-0.05+0.69vs Predicted
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4Western Michigan University-1.84+2.66vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University0.34-2.02vs Predicted
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6Hope College0.28-2.88vs Predicted
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7Michigan Technological University-1.94-0.09vs Predicted
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8Northern Michigan University-1.97-1.11vs Predicted
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9University of Chicago-1.89-2.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.79Western Michigan University0.510.3%1st Place
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5.14Hope College-0.830.0%1st Place
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3.69Michigan Technological University-0.050.1%1st Place
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6.66Western Michigan University-1.840.0%1st Place
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2.98Ohio State University0.340.2%1st Place
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3.12Hope College0.280.2%1st Place
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6.91Michigan Technological University-1.940.0%1st Place
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6.89Northern Michigan University-1.970.0%1st Place
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6.81University of Chicago-1.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Greve | 27.3% | 21.0% | 21.5% | 14.5% | 9.4% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Evelyn Ritter | 4.6% | 6.6% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 20.0% | 19.1% | 14.0% | 9.0% | 3.1% |
| Joel Florek | 13.8% | 17.1% | 15.4% | 20.7% | 15.0% | 10.9% | 5.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Elliott Klose | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 13.3% | 20.0% | 21.1% | 20.7% |
| David Aspery | 24.6% | 22.4% | 17.7% | 14.5% | 11.5% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Libby Reeg | 20.2% | 20.0% | 21.5% | 17.3% | 11.8% | 6.1% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Tray Foster | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 14.8% | 16.9% | 25.2% | 23.8% |
| Ian Pope | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 8.9% | 12.5% | 17.4% | 20.2% | 27.8% |
| Alexander Slajus | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 13.2% | 19.9% | 21.2% | 24.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.