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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College1.45+7.39vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.05+7.79vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.62+5.07vs Predicted
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4Harvard University1.55+5.25vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy1.64+2.58vs Predicted
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6Catholic University of America1.31+2.58vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.45+1.47vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin0.44+5.15vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.61-0.96vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03-4.01vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.72-2.79vs Predicted
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12Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.83+5.47vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-3.65vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College0.36-0.68vs Predicted
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15Bates College0.02-0.08vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University0.73-3.87vs Predicted
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17University of South Carolina0.63-4.67vs Predicted
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18Olin College of Engineering0.22-4.13vs Predicted
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19Fairfield University0.73-7.44vs Predicted
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20Brown University1.33-10.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.39Connecticut College1.456.6%1st Place
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9.79University of Vermont1.054.9%1st Place
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8.07Fordham University1.627.8%1st Place
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9.25Harvard University1.554.8%1st Place
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7.58U. S. Naval Academy1.648.5%1st Place
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8.58Catholic University of America1.315.9%1st Place
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8.47University of South Florida1.456.9%1st Place
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13.15University of Wisconsin0.441.9%1st Place
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8.04University of Rhode Island1.617.5%1st Place
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5.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.0311.6%1st Place
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8.21Brown University1.727.6%1st Place
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17.47Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.830.8%1st Place
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9.35U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.604.7%1st Place
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13.32Dartmouth College0.362.4%1st Place
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14.92Bates College0.021.2%1st Place
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12.13Northeastern University0.733.2%1st Place
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12.33University of South Carolina0.633.4%1st Place
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13.87Olin College of Engineering0.221.9%1st Place
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11.56Fairfield University0.733.4%1st Place
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9.5Brown University1.335.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harris Padegs | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Patrick Dolan | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Eric Hansen | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| John McKenna | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| George Lockwood | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 6.2% |
| Miles Williams | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Emily Bornarth | 11.6% | 12.9% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jed Bell | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Gunnar Pierson | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 8.5% | 14.5% | 49.9% |
| Emma Snead | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Connor Vogel | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 6.9% |
| Jack Valentino | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 17.2% | 14.3% |
| Liam Lawless | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 3.2% |
| Ian Street | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 4.5% |
| James Jagielski | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 14.4% | 9.5% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 2.4% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 5.2% | 3.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.