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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Michigan University0.51+1.80vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University-0.05+1.83vs Predicted
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3Western Michigan University-1.84+3.78vs Predicted
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4University of Chicago-1.89+2.71vs Predicted
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5Hope College0.28-1.92vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University0.34-3.01vs Predicted
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7Northern Michigan University-1.97-0.06vs Predicted
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8Hope College-0.83-3.00vs Predicted
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9Michigan Technological University-1.94-2.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.8Western Michigan University0.510.3%1st Place
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3.83Michigan Technological University-0.050.1%1st Place
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6.78Western Michigan University-1.840.0%1st Place
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6.71University of Chicago-1.890.0%1st Place
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3.08Hope College0.280.2%1st Place
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2.99Ohio State University0.340.2%1st Place
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6.94Northern Michigan University-1.970.0%1st Place
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5.0Hope College-0.830.1%1st Place
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6.87Michigan Technological University-1.940.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Greve | 27.1% | 20.9% | 21.6% | 14.4% | 9.9% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Joel Florek | 10.3% | 17.2% | 17.9% | 18.0% | 17.7% | 11.2% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Elliott Klose | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 14.5% | 18.6% | 21.2% | 23.3% |
| Alexander Slajus | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 9.0% | 14.6% | 18.5% | 21.3% | 21.7% |
| Libby Reeg | 23.3% | 20.5% | 17.4% | 18.3% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| David Aspery | 22.1% | 23.3% | 18.5% | 16.7% | 11.9% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Ian Pope | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 7.7% | 13.6% | 17.5% | 23.5% | 25.7% |
| Evelyn Ritter | 7.9% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 14.4% | 18.0% | 17.6% | 13.7% | 9.1% | 3.2% |
| Tray Foster | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 8.5% | 12.1% | 20.2% | 21.4% | 25.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.