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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Michigan University0.51+1.81vs Predicted
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2Hope College0.28+1.25vs Predicted
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3Northern Michigan University-1.97+3.97vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University-0.05-0.41vs Predicted
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5Ohio State University0.34-1.98vs Predicted
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6Western Michigan University-1.84+0.68vs Predicted
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7Michigan Technological University-1.94-0.08vs Predicted
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8University of Chicago-1.89-1.19vs Predicted
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9Hope College-0.83-4.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.81Western Michigan University0.510.3%1st Place
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3.25Hope College0.280.2%1st Place
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6.97Northern Michigan University-1.970.0%1st Place
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3.59Michigan Technological University-0.050.2%1st Place
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3.02Ohio State University0.340.3%1st Place
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6.68Western Michigan University-1.840.0%1st Place
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6.92Michigan Technological University-1.940.0%1st Place
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6.81University of Chicago-1.890.0%1st Place
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4.95Hope College-0.830.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Greve | 26.2% | 22.6% | 19.4% | 16.0% | 9.3% | 5.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Libby Reeg | 16.5% | 21.7% | 21.8% | 16.4% | 13.0% | 6.8% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Ian Pope | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 8.5% | 13.1% | 17.7% | 22.4% | 26.7% |
| Joel Florek | 15.3% | 16.0% | 17.9% | 20.9% | 14.7% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| David Aspery | 25.5% | 19.9% | 18.4% | 14.4% | 11.7% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Elliott Klose | 2.4% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 8.7% | 13.0% | 21.4% | 22.1% | 19.8% |
| Tray Foster | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 14.4% | 18.6% | 21.3% | 26.3% |
| Alexander Slajus | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 15.4% | 15.9% | 23.2% | 23.8% |
| Evelyn Ritter | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 13.9% | 19.4% | 18.4% | 14.1% | 7.1% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.