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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+4.99vs Predicted
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2Harvard University1.55+7.11vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.61+4.99vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.62+4.04vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.05+4.94vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy1.64+1.77vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America1.31+1.61vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.45+0.49vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College0.36+4.42vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.33-0.45vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.72-2.91vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-2.63vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.45-4.54vs Predicted
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14Fairfield University0.73-2.51vs Predicted
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15Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.83+2.33vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University0.73-4.13vs Predicted
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17Bates College0.02-2.15vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin0.44-4.95vs Predicted
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19Olin College of Engineering0.22-4.81vs Predicted
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20University of South Carolina0.63-7.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.0312.0%1st Place
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9.11Harvard University1.555.1%1st Place
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7.99University of Rhode Island1.617.2%1st Place
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8.04Fordham University1.626.9%1st Place
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9.94University of Vermont1.054.4%1st Place
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7.77U. S. Naval Academy1.647.3%1st Place
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8.61Catholic University of America1.316.6%1st Place
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8.49Connecticut College1.456.8%1st Place
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13.42Dartmouth College0.362.3%1st Place
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9.55Brown University1.335.5%1st Place
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8.09Brown University1.727.6%1st Place
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9.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.605.1%1st Place
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8.46University of South Florida1.456.8%1st Place
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11.49Fairfield University0.733.4%1st Place
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17.33Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.830.7%1st Place
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11.87Northeastern University0.733.2%1st Place
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14.85Bates College0.021.5%1st Place
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13.05University of Wisconsin0.442.4%1st Place
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14.19Olin College of Engineering0.221.8%1st Place
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12.41University of South Carolina0.633.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Bornarth | 12.0% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eric Hansen | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Miles Williams | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Dolan | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Caden Scheiblauer | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| John McKenna | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Harris Padegs | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Connor Vogel | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 8.1% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Jed Bell | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Emma Snead | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Zachariah Schemel | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 2.5% |
| Gunnar Pierson | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 14.9% | 46.9% |
| Liam Lawless | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 3.4% |
| Jack Valentino | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 14.9% | 15.6% |
| George Lockwood | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 5.4% |
| James Jagielski | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 14.3% | 11.4% |
| Ian Street | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 3.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.