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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Texas0.41+9.47vs Predicted
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2Texas A&M University1.30+4.08vs Predicted
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3San Diego State University1.47+2.87vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University0.60+4.40vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.70-0.12vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University0.87+1.24vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College1.17-0.97vs Predicted
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8Rice University0.91-0.59vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida-0.31+4.77vs Predicted
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10University of Central Florida-0.20+2.75vs Predicted
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11Washington College0.19-0.13vs Predicted
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12The Citadel-0.27+0.52vs Predicted
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13Clemson University0.73-5.60vs Predicted
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14University of Virginia0.04-2.82vs Predicted
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15Florida Institute of Technology-0.88-0.80vs Predicted
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16University of North Carolina-0.92-1.41vs Predicted
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17Arizona State University-0.41-2.50vs Predicted
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18Hope College-0.31-5.41vs Predicted
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19Michigan State University-0.44-6.19vs Predicted
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20William and Mary-1.40-3.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.47University of Texas0.413.8%1st Place
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6.08Texas A&M University1.309.7%1st Place
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5.87San Diego State University1.4711.4%1st Place
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8.4Christopher Newport University0.605.2%1st Place
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4.88Jacksonville University1.7015.7%1st Place
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7.24North Carolina State University0.878.1%1st Place
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6.03Eckerd College1.1711.9%1st Place
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7.41Rice University0.917.0%1st Place
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13.77University of South Florida-0.311.5%1st Place
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12.75University of Central Florida-0.201.8%1st Place
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10.87Washington College0.192.8%1st Place
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12.52The Citadel-0.272.1%1st Place
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7.4Clemson University0.737.1%1st Place
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11.18University of Virginia0.042.8%1st Place
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14.2Florida Institute of Technology-0.882.0%1st Place
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14.59University of North Carolina-0.920.9%1st Place
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14.5Arizona State University-0.411.1%1st Place
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12.59Hope College-0.312.5%1st Place
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12.81Michigan State University-0.442.2%1st Place
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16.42William and Mary-1.400.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reese Zebrowski | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Scott Mather | 9.7% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aston Smith | 11.4% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aston Atherton | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Patrick Igoe | 15.7% | 13.2% | 13.8% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Brelage | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Vieira | 11.9% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ricky Miller | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Floerchinger | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 8.7% |
| Charlie Eckert | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 4.6% |
| Joseph Bonacci | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Bradlee Anderson | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 4.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Claire Miller | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| William Mullray | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 12.2% |
| Emma Gumny | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 13.6% | 13.1% |
| Mitchell Powers | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 13.1% |
| Caroline Henry | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 4.8% |
| Ryan Dodge | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.0% |
| Harrison Rohne | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 14.4% | 30.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.