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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.89+4.25vs Predicted
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2Brown University4.28+5.31vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston4.76+2.80vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont4.60+2.40vs Predicted
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5Tufts University4.33+2.07vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University5.19-1.39vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin4.10+1.04vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida4.10-0.14vs Predicted
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9Washington College4.25-1.32vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy4.34-2.96vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California3.58-1.10vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.42-1.69vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii3.23-1.85vs Predicted
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14University of Oregon1.84+0.80vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University2.37-1.50vs Predicted
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16Texas A&M University1.90-1.34vs Predicted
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17University of Florida3.05-5.36vs Predicted
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18Texas A&M University1.90-3.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.25Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
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7.31Brown University4.280.1%1st Place
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5.8College of Charleston4.760.1%1st Place
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6.4University of Vermont4.600.1%1st Place
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7.07Tufts University4.330.1%1st Place
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4.61Georgetown University5.190.2%1st Place
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8.04University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
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7.86University of South Florida4.100.1%1st Place
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7.68Washington College4.250.1%1st Place
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7.04U. S. Naval Academy4.340.1%1st Place
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9.9University of Southern California3.580.0%1st Place
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10.31U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.420.0%1st Place
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11.15University of Hawaii3.230.0%1st Place
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14.8University of Oregon1.840.0%1st Place
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13.5Northwestern University2.370.0%1st Place
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14.66Texas A&M University1.900.0%1st Place
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11.64University of Florida3.050.0%1st Place
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14.66Texas A&M University1.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Sinks | 13.6% | 13.1% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeff Knowles | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Juan Maegli | 10.6% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clinton Hayes | 9.9% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tomas Hornos | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Buckingham | 15.9% | 13.3% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Hall | 6.6% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Blouin | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Vann | 6.6% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Vetter | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 4.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Gary Herring | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 5.2% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| William Petersen | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Craig Emmes | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 7.9% | 11.5% | 21.8% | 38.5% | 0.0% |
| Michael Cornew | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 17.1% | 22.1% | 16.2% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Haltom | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 12.7% | 24.1% | 32.9% | 0.0% |
| John Hursh | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 13.2% | 14.3% | 10.2% | 6.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Haltom | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 12.7% | 24.1% | 32.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.