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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+5.15vs Predicted
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2Harvard University1.55+7.23vs Predicted
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3University of South Carolina0.63+9.44vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.33+5.50vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+4.30vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.45+2.44vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.61+0.91vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.45+0.52vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy1.64-1.37vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.05-0.31vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.62-3.17vs Predicted
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12Olin College of Engineering0.22+2.10vs Predicted
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13Brown University1.72-4.77vs Predicted
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14Fairfield University0.73-2.41vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University0.73-3.16vs Predicted
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16Catholic University of America1.31-7.13vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin0.44-3.79vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College0.36-4.53vs Predicted
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19Bates College0.02-4.26vs Predicted
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20Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.83-2.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.0310.7%1st Place
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9.23Harvard University1.555.7%1st Place
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12.44University of South Carolina0.632.8%1st Place
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9.5Brown University1.335.8%1st Place
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9.3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.605.2%1st Place
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8.44Connecticut College1.456.0%1st Place
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7.91University of Rhode Island1.617.4%1st Place
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8.52University of South Florida1.456.9%1st Place
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7.63U. S. Naval Academy1.648.2%1st Place
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9.69University of Vermont1.055.5%1st Place
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7.83Fordham University1.628.0%1st Place
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14.1Olin College of Engineering0.221.8%1st Place
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8.23Brown University1.728.0%1st Place
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11.59Fairfield University0.733.1%1st Place
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11.84Northeastern University0.733.3%1st Place
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8.87Catholic University of America1.315.5%1st Place
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13.21University of Wisconsin0.442.1%1st Place
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13.47Dartmouth College0.361.8%1st Place
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14.74Bates College0.021.2%1st Place
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17.29Texas A&M University at Galveston-0.831.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emily Bornarth | 10.7% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Eric Hansen | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
Ian Street | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 3.9% |
Charlotte Costikyan | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
Emma Snead | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
Harris Padegs | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
Miles Williams | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Zachariah Schemel | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
Caden Scheiblauer | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
Calvin Lamosse | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
Patrick Dolan | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
James Jagielski | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 10.1% |
Jed Bell | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
Wilson Kaznoski | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 2.1% |
Liam Lawless | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 3.3% |
John McKenna | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
George Lockwood | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 6.0% |
Connor Vogel | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 7.8% |
Jack Valentino | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 16.2% | 14.9% |
Gunnar Pierson | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 15.0% | 48.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.