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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Chicago0.57+1.83vs Predicted
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2Hope College0.40+1.15vs Predicted
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3Northern Michigan University-0.34+1.37vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University0.01-0.17vs Predicted
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5Western Michigan University0.34-1.68vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University-0.90-0.80vs Predicted
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7Hope College-1.15-1.36vs Predicted
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8Western Michigan University-3.31-0.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.83University of Chicago0.570.3%1st Place
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3.15Hope College0.400.2%1st Place
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4.37Northern Michigan University-0.340.1%1st Place
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3.83Michigan Technological University0.010.1%1st Place
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3.32Western Michigan University0.340.2%1st Place
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5.2Ohio State University-0.900.1%1st Place
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5.64Hope College-1.150.0%1st Place
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7.67Western Michigan University-3.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Kang | 27.1% | 21.6% | 19.5% | 14.1% | 9.9% | 6.0% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Evan Rodgers | 20.8% | 20.1% | 18.9% | 17.1% | 12.3% | 8.1% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Kyle Bloch | 9.8% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 14.8% | 18.2% | 19.2% | 12.4% | 1.7% |
| Jacob Henley | 12.8% | 16.0% | 15.0% | 18.7% | 15.5% | 14.3% | 6.9% | 0.8% |
| Ryan Mabie | 19.0% | 19.2% | 18.1% | 15.9% | 13.9% | 10.8% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Hunter | 5.4% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 15.7% | 20.1% | 27.7% | 4.6% |
| Russell Fyfe | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 12.7% | 18.3% | 38.6% | 7.3% |
| Tyler Psychas | 0.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 7.6% | 84.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.