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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hope College0.40+2.11vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University0.01+1.82vs Predicted
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3Northern Michigan University-0.34+1.36vs Predicted
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4Western Michigan University0.34-0.73vs Predicted
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5University of Chicago0.57-2.06vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University-0.90-0.78vs Predicted
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7Hope College-1.15-1.37vs Predicted
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8Western Michigan University-3.31-0.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.11Hope College0.400.2%1st Place
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3.82Michigan Technological University0.010.1%1st Place
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4.36Northern Michigan University-0.340.1%1st Place
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3.27Western Michigan University0.340.2%1st Place
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2.94University of Chicago0.570.2%1st Place
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5.22Ohio State University-0.900.1%1st Place
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5.63Hope College-1.150.0%1st Place
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7.67Western Michigan University-3.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Rodgers | 22.9% | 18.7% | 19.6% | 15.5% | 13.3% | 7.1% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Jacob Henley | 14.0% | 13.6% | 16.4% | 18.7% | 16.3% | 12.8% | 7.6% | 0.6% |
| Kyle Bloch | 9.5% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 14.9% | 16.3% | 21.1% | 11.9% | 1.6% |
| Ryan Mabie | 19.2% | 19.9% | 18.0% | 16.7% | 14.4% | 7.8% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
| Michael Kang | 24.3% | 23.4% | 17.6% | 14.0% | 12.4% | 6.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Ryan Hunter | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 14.8% | 21.4% | 27.6% | 4.6% |
| Russell Fyfe | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 19.9% | 37.8% | 7.3% |
| Tyler Psychas | 0.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 7.3% | 84.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.