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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Michigan University0.34+2.52vs Predicted
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2Western Michigan University0.51+1.28vs Predicted
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3Michigan Technological University0.01+1.17vs Predicted
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4Hope College0.40-0.50vs Predicted
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5University of Chicago0.57-1.76vs Predicted
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6Hope College-1.15-0.01vs Predicted
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7Ohio State University-2.04+0.12vs Predicted
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8Northern Michigan University-0.65-2.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.52Western Michigan University0.340.2%1st Place
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3.28Western Michigan University0.510.2%1st Place
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4.17Michigan Technological University0.010.1%1st Place
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3.5Hope College0.400.2%1st Place
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3.24University of Chicago0.570.2%1st Place
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5.99Hope College-1.150.0%1st Place
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7.12Ohio State University-2.040.0%1st Place
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5.19Northern Michigan University-0.650.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Mabie | 17.6% | 15.6% | 20.3% | 15.6% | 13.4% | 10.7% | 5.6% | 1.2% |
| Jack Greve | 21.0% | 18.7% | 16.9% | 17.5% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 4.1% | 0.7% |
| Jacob Henley | 11.7% | 13.7% | 14.0% | 14.2% | 16.4% | 16.2% | 10.7% | 3.1% |
| Evan Rodgers | 17.2% | 18.6% | 16.2% | 15.7% | 16.5% | 9.9% | 5.0% | 0.9% |
| Michael Kang | 20.3% | 21.3% | 17.2% | 14.9% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Russell Fyfe | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 17.1% | 31.0% | 21.4% |
| Connor Basile | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 19.5% | 62.4% |
| Hannah Williams | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 15.7% | 20.9% | 21.4% | 9.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.