← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Western Michigan University0.51+2.20vs Predicted
-
2Western Michigan University0.34+1.58vs Predicted
-
3Michigan Technological University0.01+1.13vs Predicted
-
4Northern Michigan University-0.65+1.28vs Predicted
-
5Hope College0.40-1.51vs Predicted
-
6University of Chicago0.57-2.82vs Predicted
-
7Hope College-1.15-0.94vs Predicted
-
8Ohio State University-2.04-0.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.2Western Michigan University0.510.2%1st Place
-
3.58Western Michigan University0.340.2%1st Place
-
4.13Michigan Technological University0.010.1%1st Place
-
5.28Northern Michigan University-0.650.1%1st Place
-
3.49Hope College0.400.2%1st Place
-
3.18University of Chicago0.570.2%1st Place
-
6.06Hope College-1.150.0%1st Place
-
7.09Ohio State University-2.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Greve | 22.3% | 18.0% | 19.7% | 14.3% | 13.7% | 7.8% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Ryan Mabie | 16.7% | 17.5% | 15.8% | 17.2% | 14.6% | 11.9% | 5.1% | 1.2% |
| Jacob Henley | 12.4% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 16.7% | 17.2% | 15.9% | 9.6% | 2.7% |
| Hannah Williams | 6.3% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 15.5% | 21.1% | 22.4% | 10.5% |
| Evan Rodgers | 15.9% | 19.4% | 18.3% | 14.9% | 14.0% | 13.1% | 3.9% | 0.5% |
| Michael Kang | 21.4% | 20.8% | 16.7% | 17.4% | 11.7% | 8.3% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Russell Fyfe | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 14.9% | 32.3% | 23.8% |
| Connor Basile | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 20.3% | 59.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.